Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Furman Paladins vs. Samford Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa02d6eb8c6faeaa7a6a0d016838d9dc24c04e87ace936a157035415fb72dd9f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Furman Paladinsof Furman Paladins, Samford Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,985 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Samford Bulldogs | 2c | 103,094$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.34 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Samford Bulldogs | 31c | 2,978$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.51 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Furman Paladins | 71c | 2,740$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.74 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Furman Paladins | 69c | 2,282$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.03 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Furman Paladins | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.43 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Samford Bulldogs | 52c | 2,130$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.15 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Furman Paladins | 50c | 1,993$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.38 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Samford Bulldogs | 52c | 1,991$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.56 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Samford Bulldogs | 52c | 1,846$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.78 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Furman Paladins | 47c | 1,494$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.74 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 981.08$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.16 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Furman Paladins | 59c | 974.36$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.26 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Furman Paladins | 68c | 743.61$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.25 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Samford Bulldogs | 30c | 634.73$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.95 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Furman Paladins | 75c | 451.69$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Samford Bulldogs | 51c | 397.42$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.31 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Samford Bulldogs | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Samford Bulldogs | 26c | 355.17$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Samford Bulldogs | 50c | 298.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.12 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Samford Bulldogs | 50c | 297.38$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Furman Paladins | 49c | 263.69$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 249.04$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.69 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Samford Bulldogs | 13c | 239.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Furman Paladins | 65c | 223.61$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 207$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Furman Paladins | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Samford Bulldogs | 51c | 176.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Samford Bulldogs | 46c | 169.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Furman Paladins | 50c | 158.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samford Bulldogs | 52c | 157.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Furman Paladins | 49c | 148.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Samford Bulldogs | 50c | 126.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed Furman Paladins | 51c | 108.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Furman Paladins | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Furman Paladins | 67c | 98.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Furman Paladins | 79c | 93.42$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Samford Bulldogs | 56c | 90.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Furman Paladins | 75c | 81.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Furman Paladins | 60c | 77.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Furman Paladins | 70c | 73.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Furman Paladins | 68c | 73.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Furman Paladins | 72c | 70.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Samford Bulldogs | 31c | 67.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Samford Bulldogs | 22c | 60.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Samford Bulldogs | 29c | 57.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Samford Bulldogs | 32c | 57.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Furman Paladins | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Samford Bulldogs | 41c | 51.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Samford Bulldogs | 51c | 51.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Samford Bulldogs | 52c | 49.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…0975backed Samford Bulldogs | 30c | 46.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Furman Paladins | 70c | 44.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…cf0cbacked Samford Bulldogs | 56c | 35.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Furman Paladins | 49c | 35.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Furman Paladins | 54c | 34.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked Furman Paladins | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Furman Paladins | 63c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Samford Bulldogs | 51c | 28.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Samford Bulldogs | 51c | 28.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Samford Bulldogs | 51c | 28.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Furman Paladins | 74c | 26.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed Furman Paladins | 74c | 26.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…75abbacked Furman Paladins | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd33…5452backed Furman Paladins | 62c | 24.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Samford Bulldogs | 52c | 22.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…e701backed Samford Bulldogs | 57c | 21.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Furman Paladins | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Furman Paladins | 59c | 18.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Furman Paladins vs. Samford Bulldogsthis page
- Furman Paladins vs. Samford Bulldogs: O/U 146.5Over won
- Spread: Samford Bulldogs (-1.5)Furman Paladins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.