Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Samford Bulldogs (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x768dae0805b30a99f58af346e3a54211cefe91eb5a1d61ed81a64f00f63c635f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Furman Paladinsof Samford Bulldogs, Furman Paladins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,791 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Furman Paladins | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.99 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…e7c0backed Samford Bulldogs | 47c | 2,109$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Furman Paladins | 55c | 1,804$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.99 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Samford Bulldogs | 45c | 1,228$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Furman Paladins | 52c | 790.94$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.94 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Samford Bulldogs | 45c | 578.97$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.43 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Samford Bulldogs | 48c | 467.58$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.04 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Samford Bulldogs | 47c | 359.69$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.05 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Samford Bulldogs | 48c | 152.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Furman Paladins | 54c | 94.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Furman Paladins | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Samford Bulldogs | 49c | 89.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Samford Bulldogs | 47c | 73.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked Samford Bulldogs | 46c | 58.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Furman Paladins | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Samford Bulldogs | 45c | 37.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samford Bulldogs | 47c | 32.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Samford Bulldogs | 46c | 32.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Samford Bulldogs | 49c | 22.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Samford Bulldogs (-1.5)this page
- Furman Paladins vs. Samford BulldogsFurman Paladins won
- Furman Paladins vs. Samford Bulldogs: O/U 146.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.