Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x087bdb5b0bd2c8e70bdf9a2670e6df7d4d16cffd041d048e5febb47b98f26f2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 50c | 15,038$7,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,519.37 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 50c | 13,208$6,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,611.25 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 50c | 3,866$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.94 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 52c | 1,482$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.43 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 1,219$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.24 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 49c | 871.25$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.78 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 50c | 501.57$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.74 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 51c | 384.53$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.26 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 280.37$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.79 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…83acbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 189.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 49c | 171.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 133.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 90.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 52c | 74.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 52c | 66.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Over | 52c | 61.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…c71ebacked Over | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…e701backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 52c | 49.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Under | 50c | 48.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6d…e279backed Over | 52c | 45.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf038…c40ebacked Over | 52c | 32.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Over | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 75c | 17.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 148.5this page
- Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Utah State AggiesUtah State Aggies won
- Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 149.5Under won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-10.5)Grand Canyon Antelopes won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-9.5)Grand Canyon Antelopes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.