Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed4f1d1a9c8360800fccbd8bc8c17b9e39f3b3b6718955e381af2984b08722b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grand Canyon Antelopesof Utah State Aggies, Grand Canyon Antelopes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 53c | 3,444$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.83 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah State Aggies | 47c | 1,630$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 43c | 1,124$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.46 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Utah State Aggies | 51c | 386.18$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 54c | 198.26$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Utah State Aggies | 51c | 182.02$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 54c | 84.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Utah State Aggies | 32c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 36c | 46.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 53c | 36.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 49c | 36.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Utah State Aggies | 51c | 34.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah State Aggies | 47c | 29.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Utah State Aggies | 75c | 17.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 65c | 15.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-9.5)this page
- Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Utah State AggiesUtah State Aggies won
- Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 148.5Under won
- Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 149.5Under won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-10.5)Grand Canyon Antelopes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.