Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a0d2811f8739a863f7068fae5d7b57cbe9995beb1fb6e474491a1b66e4fd03a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 53c | 15,335$8,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,206.98 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,049.99 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 53c | 2,403$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.35 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 1,936$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.16 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 47c | 1,176$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.66 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 53c | 1,167$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.54 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 61c | 811.94$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.59 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 35c | 713.47$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.05 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 48c | 480.11$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.45 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 62c | 247.94$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.72 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 53c | 246.84$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 215.47$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.18 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 53c | 214.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 48c | 210.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…83acbacked Over | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 146.16$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 54c | 128.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6d…e279backed Over | 50c | 123.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6232…f92abacked Over | 47c | 107.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 49c | 103.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 52c | 93.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 55c | 90.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 32c | 79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 50c | 74.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Under | 53c | 45.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Under | 57c | 43.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 36c | 36.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Over | 48c | 34.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Under | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -12.0wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Over | 47c | 31.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 30.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 55c | 28.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 73c | 18.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 149.5this page
- Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Utah State AggiesUtah State Aggies won
- Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-10.5)Grand Canyon Antelopes won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-9.5)Grand Canyon Antelopes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.