Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x667c8a93a5c44f316307d67b8a26168282116a48a3e0e5ac687038dcd72ecf0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina State Wolfpackof North Carolina State Wolfpack, Pittsburgh Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,203 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 61c | 2,845$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.38 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 36c | 2,639$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.9 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 2,203$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.28 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 64c | 495.97$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.42 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 45c | 441.54$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.25 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…e701backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 46c | 202.87$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 41c | 88.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 80c | 60.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 54.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 47.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 64c | 40.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 64c | 19.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 64c | 19.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 60c | 16.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 66c | 15.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-9.5)this page
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina State WolfpackNorth Carolina State Wolfpack won
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 144.5Over won
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-8.5)North Carolina State Wolfpack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.