Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a417364b44318a315e4749ea4c9087519b3b16a77e8a3ac05918cdec9cd300a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina State Wolfpackof North Carolina State Wolfpack, Pittsburgh Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,995 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437c…f458backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 6,778$3,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.62 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 5,339$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.54 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 4,700$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 49c | 3,949$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 2,457$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.65 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 46c | 1,221$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.45 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 1,114$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.32 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 935.17$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.64 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 495.63$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 467.81$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.55 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 48c | 436.68$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.22 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 319.39$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.05 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 216.21$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 205.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 196.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 147.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 140.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 99.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 99.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 75c | 66.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 59.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc33…ded5backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 53.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 51.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 44.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 41.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 39.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 49c | 34.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 33.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 32.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 47c | 30.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 29.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 28.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 27.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 25.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 25.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 20.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 19.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-8.5)this page
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina State WolfpackNorth Carolina State Wolfpack won
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 144.5Over won
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-9.5)North Carolina State Wolfpack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.