Other European Leagues · resolved market
Hamarkameratene vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc54106777b1afd4558074c3c27cbe290678ed57fd3fd4a0ba094c1f29e9e8ae1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,457 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,111$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 30c | 1,071$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.45 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…e701backed Over | 40c | 396$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed Under | 60c | 379.84$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +968.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…9445backed Over | 36c | 361$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5d16backed Over | 36c | 347$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…c4c2backed Under | 60c | 319$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x650d…2812backed Under | 64c | 292$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e8…bc9cbacked Over | 40c | 290$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335e…0a4dbacked Over | 36c | 281$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d0…ad87backed Over | 40c | 279$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5416…828fbacked Over | 40c | 269$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b10…0473backed Over | 40c | 266$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…eed0backed Under | 64c | 260$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9f…0ad9backed Over | 40c | 255$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbf…6e97backed Under | 64c | 249$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7920…8272backed Under | 64c | 246$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…4b19backed Over | 36c | 246$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c4…7771backed Over | 40c | 245$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…4487backed Under | 60c | 238$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa730…bd15backed Under | 60c | 221$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…f1b5backed Over | 36c | 217$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586a…de96backed Under | 64c | 215$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…2f87backed Under | 60c | 213$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…9ce6backed Under | 60c | 206$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fa…7449backed Under | 64c | 198$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…61a9backed Under | 64c | 196$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…3ae6backed Under | 60c | 195$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f8…eeddbacked Over | 36c | 194$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65db…62d3backed Over | 36c | 192$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…a530backed Under | 60c | 191$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2973…e8ddbacked Under | 60c | 183$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…80e3backed Under | 64c | 182$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc022…d8a1backed Over | 40c | 162$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 30c | 132.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 71.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 69c | 62.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 69c | 51.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 29c | 39.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 70c | 20.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamarkameratene vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5this page
- Hamarkameratene vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hamarkameratene (-1.5)Viking FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.