Other European Leagues · resolved market
Hamarkameratene vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67122b0a2b9c38147e6604ca2ee8041a4297ecc6d090383ab5f488e83c4cf4aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,332 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed Under | 47c | 7,000$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 4,689$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.05 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 53c | 924.69$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 52c | 476.92$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.92 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6755…2af0backed Under | 41c | 461$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e58…a3d2backed Under | 41c | 421$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b76…acaabacked Over | 59c | 333$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32b…0dc3backed Under | 41c | 332$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de9…4d20backed Over | 59c | 320$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…8595backed Over | 59c | 315$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841c…2481backed Under | 41c | 304$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…f02cbacked Under | 41c | 290$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa475…ce69backed Over | 59c | 276$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…ef42backed Under | 41c | 267$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc022…d8a1backed Over | 59c | 262$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…5493backed Over | 59c | 198$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…07ebbacked Over | 59c | 186$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…695ebacked Over | 59c | 185$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 133.6$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 53c | 113.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 104.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 29c | 68.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 53c | 50.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 37c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 53c | 41.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 54c | 35.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 54c | 30.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Over | 56c | 25.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamarkameratene vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Hamarkameratene vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hamarkameratene (-1.5)Viking FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.