TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,866 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb48e…d489backed Yes32c2,173$700 inLost-$7005440.7%22 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No65c1,463$951 inWon+$512.2226069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9719…6ffabacked No67c799.98$536 inWon+$263.996669.7%46 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Yes31c765.48$236 inLost-$235.7377549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed No70c554$390 inWon+$163.7445657%260 W · 196 L+44.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No73c542.86$397 inWon+$14665762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No70c291.33$204 inWon+$87.41,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae9d…d417backed Yes33c220.72$72 inLost-$726354%34 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef4e…a79abacked Yes37c134.2$50 inLost-$503844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No62c119.89$74 inWon+$45.5626638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe07f…08d6backed Yes35c42.86$15 inLost-$152634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No67c38.1$26 inWon+$12.574,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No71c30$21 inWon+$8.760267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c9d…8498backed No69c28.43$20 inWon+$8.745648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1150…e701backed Yes49c24.52$12 inLost-$12.011811.1%2 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-81.4%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No71c22.27$16 inWon+$6.4683158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No65c16.3$11 inWon+$5.6319555.4%108 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.