NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d3cc46ee28556ba95a857a33e9869be78451585314a765a3e999a0bfa153e18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Suns, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,882 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Bulls | 51c | 23,529$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,529.41 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Bulls | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Suns | 50c | 18,923$9,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,550.73 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 49c | 16,232$8,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,030.81 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns | 50c | 13,709$6,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,920.48 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Bulls | 47c | 11,658$5,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,181.25 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Suns | 54c | 11,347$6,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,075.55 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Bulls | 50c | 8,170$4,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,056.68 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns | 51c | 5,814$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.59 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Suns | 50c | 5,248$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.17 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls | 47c | 5,002$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.33 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 49c | 4,738$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Suns | 51c | 4,400$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Suns | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bulls | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Bulls | 48c | 3,972$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.07 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Suns | 54c | 3,945$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.28 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Suns | 51c | 3,910$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.1 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Suns | 53c | 3,893$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.14 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bulls | 49c | 3,395$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.51 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 49c | 3,089$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Bulls | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.29 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Bulls | 49c | 2,871$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.13 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Bulls | 50c | 2,250$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Suns | 11c | 2,067$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.39 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Bulls | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Suns | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Suns | 53c | 1,871$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.63 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Bulls | 50c | 1,370$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.84 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…d116backed Bulls | 49c | 1,354$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.33 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 48c | 1,321$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee4…fc35backed Bulls | 51c | 1,163$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 50c | 1,002$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.7 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Suns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Suns | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Bulls | 51c | 980.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.45 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns | 51c | 965.63$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.01 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Bulls | 46c | 846$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.84 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Suns | 51c | 841$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.9 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Bulls | 50c | 812.26$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.13 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Suns | 50c | 726$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Bulls | 50c | 709.96$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.96 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Bulls | 45c | 683.43$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.88 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Suns | 50c | 600$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Suns | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Bulls | 50c | 586$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Suns | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bulls | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Suns | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Bulls | 46c | 403.2$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.73 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Bulls | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Suns | 55c | 363.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Suns | 51c | 352$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.52 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Bulls | 51c | 349$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.01 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6b04backed Suns | 30c | 346.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bulls | 48c | 330.79$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.46 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Suns | 50c | 300$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 50c | 293.32$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Bulls | 70c | 289$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Suns | 53c | 273.72$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Suns | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 50c | 232.61$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Bulls | 50c | 232$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Suns | 54c | 222.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.01 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Suns | 51c | 209.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.19 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Suns | 54c | 201$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Bulls | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Suns | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Bulls | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Suns | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bulls | 65c | 198.19$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Suns | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Suns | 51c | 178.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Bulls | 45c | 177.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Bulls | 46c | 174.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Suns | 21c | 160.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Bulls | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Bulls | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Suns | 51c | 145$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bulls | 50c | 135$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Suns | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Suns | 54c | 119.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Suns | 50c | 118.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Suns | 52c | 118.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Suns | 52c | 117.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…373fbacked Bulls | 50c | 115.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Suns | 52c | 115$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Suns | 13c | 114.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Bulls | 51c | 109.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0289…6ba5backed Suns | 55c | 109.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Bulls | 49c | 107.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Suns | 51c | 107.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Bulls | 48c | 104.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Bulls | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Suns | 52c | 102$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Bulls | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Bulls | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Suns | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-10.5)this page
- Bulls vs. SunsBulls won
- Bulls vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Suns: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Under won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Oso Ighodaro: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Oso Ighodaro: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Ryan Dunn: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Suns (-12.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.