NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Suns: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2ece6e92ebde07ecbc7993196a99a80278839b481fa3593c04de2554109ba94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,508 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 54c | 8,130$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,739.8 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Over | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 5,990$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.5 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 55c | 5,473$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.51 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 4,011$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.74 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 55c | 2,941$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.15 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 15c | 1,674$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.04 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Over | 49c | 1,635$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 1,485$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 1,367$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.92 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Under | 53c | 1,318$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.55 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 4c | 1,296$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 1,265$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.56 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Under | 55c | 1,045$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.45 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Over | 49c | 788.73$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.48 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 744$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 53c | 744$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.68 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 38c | 652$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.76 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 495.62$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.46 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 45c | 336.54$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.02 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 258$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 35c | 251.5$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 48c | 219.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.23 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 20c | 214.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 54c | 151.1$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 30c | 145.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Under | 52c | 145.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 31c | 143$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 46c | 128$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 54c | 114.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 54c | 112.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 48c | 103.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 14c | 103.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 57c | 102.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f9e0backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…ccf7backed Under | 69c | 95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 49c | 93.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Over | 46c | 85.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 53c | 75.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…896cbacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 47c | 61.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 52c | 61.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Over | 48c | 46.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 70c | 44.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…e9f2backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 70c | 27.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 75c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 57c | 22.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Suns: O/U 225.5this page
- Bulls vs. SunsBulls won
- Bulls vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Suns: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Under won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Oso Ighodaro: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Oso Ighodaro: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Ryan Dunn: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Suns (-12.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.