TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Suns: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,639 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a57…2afabacked Over51c14,787$7,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,611.48944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Under52c8,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8601,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c4,291$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.814,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c3,889$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.3980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over9c2,466$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.281,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over48c2,427$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Under52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0810847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Over51c1,681$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.315945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c1,597$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.613,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c1,536$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.764,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c1,529$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.362,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c1,393$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.644,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ded…5cf9backed Under50c1,214$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+55.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60033146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200c…9cd5backed Over50c1,004$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0816…5e16backed Over50c934$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad3f…7f0ebacked Under50c913$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43ec…ba02backed Over50c912$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c905.05$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.779,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…cfddbacked Under50c848$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ccc…bc66backed Over50c737$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over49c731.1$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.2415543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c711.25$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.113,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c706$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3536,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over7c678.53$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9626638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8887…eab8backed Under50c616$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over50c599.99$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29822746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24553951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.252951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c469$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.812,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c464$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.361,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under65c391.54$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6465872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over49c383.09$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7117550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over50c300$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14991148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under51c204.08$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c0…d72dbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3126956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3114156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3117353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over50c192.1$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.691,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Over49c189.96$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9420847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over32c178.27$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.451,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under52c118.47$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8776552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under52c116.5$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.922,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Under72c115.02$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.187247.2%34 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Under76c111.4$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7411347.8%54 W · 59 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c108.02$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.852,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under52c104.23$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0330845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0466046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022249.5%110 W · 112 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c100.68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.35,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4839435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507247.2%34 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5141052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4935739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over48c99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.521,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.159844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1597049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c94.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c93.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.672,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Under51c85.6$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1683158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under63c84.17$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.141,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under48c82.24$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7653149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Over50c78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397744.2%34 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over45c75.52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over39c73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.182,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked Over51c68.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.036953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over49c66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3423946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec7b…dc40backed Under52c61.52$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.532740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf806…bdf2backed Over50c61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.841251%210 W · 202 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1bb…6cc9backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Over43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528536.8%105 W · 180 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524042.9%103 W · 137 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over45c50.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8952052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7465630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Under52c46.13$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1424147.7%115 W · 126 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7e…1d83backed Under50c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Over53c41.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2232148.3%155 W · 166 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf2…31f0backed Over49c40.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2045251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2236350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96b0…b331backed Under52c38.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.813948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under52c38.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2892058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under52c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8623350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under49c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8346447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Under50c30.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.516338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.338048.7%185 W · 195 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x293e…0bcfbacked Under50c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.