NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2698d4fa18bf37066a08ed44f465f437cdfc55dbb1f216b1adbe69a74081270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,639 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Over | 51c | 14,787$7,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,611.4 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Under | 52c | 8,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,860 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 4,291$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.81 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 3,889$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.39 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 9c | 2,466$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.28 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 48c | 2,427$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Over | 51c | 1,681$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.31 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 1,597$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.61 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,536$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.76 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 1,529$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.36 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 1,393$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…5cf9backed Under | 50c | 1,214$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…9cd5backed Over | 50c | 1,004$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0816…5e16backed Over | 50c | 934$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…7f0ebacked Under | 50c | 913$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…ba02backed Over | 50c | 912$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 905.05$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…cfddbacked Under | 50c | 848$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…bc66backed Over | 50c | 737$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 49c | 731.1$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.24 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 711.25$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.11 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 706$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 7c | 678.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…eab8backed Under | 50c | 616$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 50c | 599.99$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 469$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.81 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 464$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.36 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 65c | 391.54$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.64 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 49c | 383.09$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.71 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 50c | 300$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 51c | 204.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…d72dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 50c | 192.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Over | 49c | 189.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 32c | 178.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 52c | 118.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 116.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 72c | 115.02$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Under | 76c | 111.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 108.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 52c | 104.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 222 | 49.5%110 W · 112 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 100.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 94.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 93.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 51c | 85.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 63c | 84.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 48c | 82.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Over | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 45c | 75.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 39c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…c09fbacked Over | 51c | 68.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 49c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…dc40backed Under | 52c | 61.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf806…bdf2backed Over | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 240 | 42.9%103 W · 137 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 45c | 50.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Under | 52c | 46.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…1d83backed Under | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Over | 53c | 41.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…31f0backed Over | 49c | 40.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…b331backed Under | 52c | 38.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 52c | 38.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Under | 50c | 30.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293e…0bcfbacked Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Suns: O/U 224.5this page
- Bulls vs. SunsBulls won
- Bulls vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Suns: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Under won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Oso Ighodaro: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Oso Ighodaro: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Ryan Dunn: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Suns (-12.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.