TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Suns (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Suns, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$813,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $813,130 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Bulls51c513,984$261,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252,052.1787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Suns49c200,000$98,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns49c193,999$95,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,059.714,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Suns49c100,027$49,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,013.0966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Bulls53c56,610$29,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,650.332653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Bulls51c42,981$21,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,060.854539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Suns52c17,077$8,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,816.7616547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Suns47c14,668$6,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,897.834,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Suns49c12,581$6,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,218.0136359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcee4…fc35backed Bulls55c11,450$6,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,152.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Suns39c11,341$4,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,432.1626544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Suns47c10,673$5,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,016.314742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Suns48c10,418$4,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,995.5220948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns49c9,933$4,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,878.954,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Bulls50c7,364$3,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,682.031,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Bulls56c7,118$3,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,142.738361.4%51 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Suns47c6,922$3,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,259.8635744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Suns50c6,809$3,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,404.3233447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Suns50c5,867$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,913.761,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Suns49c5,509$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.5957950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Suns47c5,378$2,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.6658951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Suns49c5,127$2,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,512.361,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns45c5,110$2,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.72,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Suns50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Suns50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50029748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Suns47c3,877$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.632,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns48c3,858$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.562,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns48c3,557$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.889,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns46c3,345$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.386,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Bulls50c2,747$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.537842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns48c2,744$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.673,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Bulls49c2,671$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.4577348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Suns50c2,200$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10037747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Bulls49c2,162$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.621,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Suns48c2,040$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.217050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Suns51c1,926$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.261,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Suns2c1,899$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.91,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Suns47c1,810$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.351,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab65…4a03backed Bulls50c1,682$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8414647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Bulls55c1,586$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.75341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa302…de94backed Suns50c1,501$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.51747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Suns51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7652,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Suns50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7508754%47 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Bulls53c1,500$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked Suns47c1,474$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.76953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Suns51c1,404$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.9151354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Suns47c1,400$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6561,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86bb…54ebbacked Bulls50c1,370$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6851361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bulls61c1,312$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.682,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Suns41c1,294$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.83,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Suns46c1,084$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Suns50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Suns45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Suns49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49019147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a80…8c5ebacked Suns46c980.43$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4517439.2%29 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Bulls51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3917251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bulls67c958.54$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.133,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6db4…91e2backed Bulls50c930$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4651855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed Suns48c880.92$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4208765.5%57 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Suns47c829.79$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39051146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7d4…b415backed Suns50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Suns47c738.62$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.473,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Suns47c680.85$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Suns46c639.92$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.3617243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Bulls52c631$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.886546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c1…a528backed Suns39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2342445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Suns45c600$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26822746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Suns47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503250%16 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bulls49c519.22$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.32,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Bulls48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Suns50c498$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2491,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Suns47c491.93$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.132,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Suns46c464.75$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.751,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Bulls55c443.68$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6654549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Bulls54c411.52$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.345542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb44f…8c20backed Suns27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Suns47c365$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5554747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1deb…472fbacked Suns49c323.73$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606845.6%31 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Suns51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15310251%52 W · 50 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Suns47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14145646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Suns50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Suns45c299.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13591148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Suns48c260.42$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12555846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Suns47c252.5$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.393,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Bulls58c246.61$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7226638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Suns13c231.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.032,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls68c209$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedde…7753backed Suns48c208.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe86…6763backed Bulls50c200.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0810243.1%44 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Bulls48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10435444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Suns53c198$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.951,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bae…f1a0backed Suns51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Bulls62c194$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.721,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Suns45c189.55$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.491,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Bulls54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1960250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Bulls56c174.5$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7840243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Suns47c160.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.863243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Suns47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Bulls51c140.94$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.061,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.