La Liga · resolved market
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-03-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81ffa11f0a803731d40b353ed285df0bbbb01d53a47c67491ec96a6e0563091e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 69c | 2,244$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.44 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 2,145$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.57 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,449$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.86 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 1,439$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.51 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 66c | 1,375$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.71 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 27c | 846.37$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.52 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked Yes | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 32c | 587.76$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.08 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…c2ffbacked Yes | 22c | 587.73$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…780bbacked Yes | 27c | 574.07$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -64%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 32c | 551.14$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 449.94$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.38 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 36c | 381.19$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.76 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 31c | 323.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 34c | 311.09$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Yes | 27c | 307.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked No | 77c | 270.13$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 35c | 269.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 26c | 259.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 250.07$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 198.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 34c | 197$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 33c | 192.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 184.75$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Yes | 22c | 183.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…d526backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 32c | 138.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 34c | 132.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 23c | 128$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Yes | 30c | 115.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 14c | 114.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 41c | 114.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Yes | 34c | 105.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…183fbacked Yes | 18c | 97.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 33c | 86.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 55c | 84.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 32c | 79.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 29c | 74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 34c | 73.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 26c | 71.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 63.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…638cbacked Yes | 31c | 55.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 34c | 53.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Yes | 34c | 49.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 35c | 44.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 61c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed Yes | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 34c | 41.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 33c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 34c | 40.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Yes | 35c | 39.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Yes | 34c | 38.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 34c | 35.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Yes | 34c | 35.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 35c | 34.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 67c | 31.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…467ebacked No | 69c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3063…e5e1backed Yes | 34c | 29.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed No | 79c | 28.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed No | 79c | 26.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed No | 79c | 24.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked No | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 76c | 18.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 65c | 15.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-03-28?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-03-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.