La Liga · resolved market
Will Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd646bee0ae6100ac8f5bd83cb1c1a66b6fbc04ae2f7364d1c84bcd58df5973c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 2,145$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.87 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 1,771$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.52 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,210$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.13 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 1,166$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.1 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 56c | 857.6$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.16 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 55c | 708.58$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.58 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 35c | 706.64$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.9 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 650$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 8c | 440$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 41c | 393.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 57c | 377.19$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.19 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 19c | 328.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 38c | 261.69$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 71c | 250$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 70c | 202.88$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 37c | 199.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…bd3bbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 104.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 101.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 79c | 93$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 30c | 84.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 24c | 84.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 23c | 69.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 43c | 69.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…638cbacked Yes | 24c | 55.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 28c | 52.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 48.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 27c | 42.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 76c | 34.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 41c | 32.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 54c | 21.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…909abacked Yes | 61c | 19.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 70c | 15.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-03-28?No won
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-03-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.