La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-03-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8621de7162f6ca16f0950bd2f10108148df8a5cd4ade54a7b04044d805959f00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Yes | 40c | 15,750$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 60c | 6,748$4,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.2 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 5,393$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.34 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 5,093$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.5 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes | 39c | 2,603$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.06 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 2,078$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.22 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 26c | 1,908$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.01 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,333$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.46 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 59c | 932.2$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 60c | 712.48$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 64c | 704.77$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.3 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 642.5$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.89 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 62c | 601.59$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.86 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 60c | 351.44$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.58 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 59c | 330.12$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.13 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 62c | 319.64$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.43 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 274.21$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…c8babacked Yes | 28c | 255.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked No | 61c | 242.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 25c | 204.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 38c | 198$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 196.87$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 37c | 196$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 39c | 190.24$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…958ebacked Yes | 44c | 171.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes | 31c | 170$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 30c | 164.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac3…0058backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fa…4cf6backed Yes | 39c | 160.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Yes | 39c | 149.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 38c | 145$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 141.39$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 137.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 42c | 130.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…d526backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 68c | 80.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 39c | 77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 21c | 70.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 42c | 66.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked No | 62c | 66.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 39c | 57.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…638cbacked Yes | 31c | 55.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 60c | 54.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 66c | 54.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 38c | 51.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 28c | 48.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 595 | 55.5%330 W · 265 L | +31.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 46.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 476 | 53.8%256 W · 220 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 45.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 59c | 43.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 68c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 74c | 40.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…467ebacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed No | 63c | 32.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…4e62backed Yes | 40c | 26.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cf…a088backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 69c | 24.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Yes | 42c | 23.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked No | 72c | 23.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed No | 60c | 23.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…c637backed No | 62c | 23.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 65c | 18.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 70c | 17.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +11.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 60c | 17.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-03-28?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-03-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.