Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36446746f7d8e2849ce6c4c0f1d2ce5c756eeb1df2a3fe3c7215560f3c8024cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,308 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 12c | 4,276$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.2 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 1,437$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.47 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 20c | 1,293$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.54 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,079$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.23 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 25c | 984.41$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.1 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 11c | 925.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 13c | 766.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Yes | 19c | 730.08$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Yes | 13c | 383.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 9c | 318$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 13c | 306.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 265.38$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 19c | 252.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 5c | 219.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Yes | 12c | 207.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Yes | 13c | 189.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 183.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…4795backed Yes | 10c | 166.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 162.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 13c | 155.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 90.63$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ce4fbacked Yes | 20c | 72.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534c…70f1backed Yes | 20c | 67.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Yes | 21c | 62.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 80c | 62.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 20c | 54.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 49.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 79c | 40.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 79c | 34.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 80c | 29.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 73cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…467ebacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 80c | 18.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.