Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x221940b9c7b351f66926d274e163c7368c9aec93c9f1c19dcc0e7c97866f1471
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,144 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 10c | 62,481$6,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,248.06 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 3c | 8,475$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 6cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 1c | 1,312$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…98cebacked Yes | 11c | 1,051$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 6c | 638.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed Yes | 11c | 610.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Yes | 3c | 583.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 10c | 383.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 10c | 256.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…2e11backed Yes | 10c | 252.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534c…70f1backed Yes | 8c | 202.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 6c | 189.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 10c | 169.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 13c | 137.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 10c | 135.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 46.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 25c | 42.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 80c | 14.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.