TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Hungary vs. Slovenia end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,211
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,211 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No58c7,734$4,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,246.8335942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes42c4,166$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.5629343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes44c2,783$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.54,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c1,632$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.571,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes27c1,578$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.9346536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c1,542$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.2537144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ae…9c62backed Yes39c1,200$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b48…c235backed No59c1,155$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No47c989$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.816341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Yes27c850$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.55635.7%20 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3924753.2%25 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Yes27c510$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.73842.1%16 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+44.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No59c463.72$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.245039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No65c429.4$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8817535.4%62 W · 113 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes18c378.46$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703616.7%6 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-57.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No74c368.98$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.932835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes24c343.79$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.738040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No74c311.93$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.110153.5%54 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked No59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.05875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes40c245.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4917158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c237.64$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7955045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes42c234.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3123749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No73c233.4$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.022,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Yes42c231.23$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0315448.1%74 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes26c222$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7248140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes38c199.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.993145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes50c191.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.652,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes41c191.87$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3225554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes41c191.87$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3224653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Yes48c189.58$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437f…38f0backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No73c149.85$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4636850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No65c132.01$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6445947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes42c130.41$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2486455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No79c122.3$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0923738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes42c120.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3150850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Yes12c113.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.914623.9%11 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c101.7$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.443,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2615945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277748.1%37 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c94.47$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.561,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No74c93.92$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4224144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No71c93.86$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6542043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x529c…4795backed Yes28c93.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Yes26c88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8810234.3%35 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No79c86$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.786355.6%35 W · 28 L+8.8wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+40.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6c55…f33cbacked Yes62c80.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…db61backed Yes16c80.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.611241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc6…6c9fbacked Yes27c74.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x197b…4804backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes26c73.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.012634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d6…961abacked No73c68.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.493250%16 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1b7…fefdbacked No75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.677273.6%53 W · 19 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc684…1422backed Yes53c66.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes41c65.35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7821953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Yes35c58.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.229351.6%48 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9da…f7d9backed No45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.562751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No62c55.18$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8827745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dcd…74c6backed Yes44c50.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+65.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2026455.3%146 W · 118 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210436.5%38 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No72c45.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.863,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No74c44.67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6422656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes52c44.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes46c43.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6223751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No65c41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.456347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.810863.9%69 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe89a…467ebacked No73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81850%9 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c38.46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No76c35.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.541,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No69c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.999145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f0a…1584backed Yes42c28.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a05…8573backed Yes41c26.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.833743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No74c26.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.85887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No68c25.97$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2982348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No74c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2443653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No72c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked No60c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.29666.7%64 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed No76c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0813450.7%68 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9317338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ca…e04dbacked No73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.055972.9%43 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed No71c14.65$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.257443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.