Fifa International · resolved market
Will Slovenia win on 2026-03-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48833b2e8158936f5e0d71afc3a58958fd3dfd7ef4240f16c7e294401f4b31a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 1,936$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.15 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 1,190$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.15 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 16c | 943.52$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.86 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 894.24$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.79 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 19c | 585.44$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.23 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 19c | 563.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 20c | 535$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…a3b6backed No | 78c | 532.04$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 21c | 450$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 12c | 420.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 19c | 231.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 19c | 204$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…c8babacked Yes | 18c | 170.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 167.23$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…6fc5backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 148.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 70c | 115$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…e532backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Yes | 17c | 96.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Yes | 21c | 95.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 79c | 92.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c588backed Yes | 23c | 84.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 79c | 83.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Yes | 20c | 79.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 20c | 76.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 80c | 57.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 53.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…b58bbacked Yes | 19c | 51.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…b5f2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…dfd9backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…3c33backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a8…91fdbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…22fbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…dad3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 57c | 30.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 23.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 76c | 16.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Slovenia win on 2026-03-28?this page
- Will Hungary vs. Slovenia end in a draw?No won
- Will Hungary win on 2026-03-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.