TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,086
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,086 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes28c23,044$6,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,591.8919846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No72c14,778$10,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,692.935046%23 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No72c10,050$7,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,269.922055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No43c5,383$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335.571,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No72c4,924$3,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,545.182673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c3,148$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,297.563,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes27c2,520$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.387540%30 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No29c2,100$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.797128.2%20 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked No43c2,037$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.04714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-72.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes27c1,857$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.7942962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes61c1,800$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.5628651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes57c1,430$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.315,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No40c1,010$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.1915128.5%43 W · 108 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c996.27$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.271,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No11c883.03$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.211,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes58c861.88$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.016866.2%45 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9303…0bc7backed Yes29c654.23$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.51714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-50.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Yes58c616.84$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.555156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc351…b804backed Yes49c597.39$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No53c496.64$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.5814654.1%79 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes72c492.76$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7936757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Yes58c484.87$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.394761.7%29 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes74c478.78$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0328158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes66c457.59$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.098,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Yes58c439.1$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.656558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Yes58c368.53$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.783467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Yes68c361.95$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.517957%45 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes58c359.96$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4916255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No73c336.92$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.954042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Yes58c336.01$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.896274.2%46 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No35c295.43$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9923551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No23c262.96$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6684943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes61c258$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6230841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked No49c242.35$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.75955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d6…4af7backed Yes58c210.78$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.35650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes66c209.61$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.969361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes74c203.76$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6326160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x806b…cccabacked No33c197.79$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.951637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes69c189$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.812,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c186.17$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.41,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Yes58c180.04$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No21c178.84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.081,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No73c172$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5621349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes59c151.78$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.767660.5%46 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61b9…8913backed Yes79c144.96$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No71c143.62$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9737851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x895c…d405backed No72c139.69$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.151250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes60c137.84$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.663657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes60c137.84$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.618154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No73c134.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.381478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick73cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79d…4b58backed No14c132.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1c…0144backed Yes79c132.34$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.233557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No68c117.36$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.018961.8%55 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No72c116.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.941,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes58c107.43$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7910456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No15c105.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.371,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb456…1774backed Yes27c99.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.995846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes29c99.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.991,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No65c99.27$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.31,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No34c96.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes27c95.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.85444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes61c92.87$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3233560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c91.02$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.531,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes60c83.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.718451.2%43 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Yes60c82.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.415172.5%37 W · 14 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Yes29c76.59$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.381952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dfe…d2d0backed No42c75.25$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.61333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed No39c73.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9130231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Yes59c73.25$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.928964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No35c72.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3671619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No62c69.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0517857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No17c61.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.228740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49ce…bbaebacked No72c57.82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes58c54.47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.991,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb074…a232backed Yes28c50.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.71944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02e7…2519backed Yes59c49.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.332548%12 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed Yes27c45.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.538439.3%33 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17f5…3e64backed Yes58c42.39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.731485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+43.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcb71…288ebacked Yes59c41.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.952185.7%18 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+48.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Yes59c41.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.955362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b4…e755backed No72c40.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Yes34c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.44425%11 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Yes60c39.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.882369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97b3…0d4abacked Yes58c38.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.861361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes60c36.64$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.519056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c2b…2086backed No74c35.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yes59c34.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.281369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67f1…53f1backed Yes62c34.69$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.18580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Yes58c34.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.314374.4%32 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+35.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes73c34.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2512464.5%80 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x177d…5ff1backed Yes57c34.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Yes58c33.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.994362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes59c33.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.646369.8%44 W · 19 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Yes55c32.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.638763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dad…1821backed Yes73c32.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.69955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17a1…8501backed Yes62c31.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.11944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd82f…aba0backed Yes65c30.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick50cpaid+49.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.69657.3%55 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No73c29.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.558261%50 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.