Tweets · resolved market
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53c067bc1b0b1e0a8fb5dc401a75bc92877f6eb0a15052f307933dddf036636b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 0c | 65,426$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.21 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 7c | 1,381$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 97 | 7.2%7 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 2c | 771.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…2100backed Yes | 76c | 764.38$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…82b2backed No | 58c | 422$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a42…f13abacked Yes | 42c | 422$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5621…b2efbacked No | 4c | 414.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 69c | 412.07$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.09 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…9f53backed Yes | 63c | 400$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…1590backed Yes | 26c | 253.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.03 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ab…e99cbacked Yes | 71c | 199.49$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 37c | 189.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d7…b428backed Yes | 73c | 180.76$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 35c | 179.14$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.97 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 21c | 140.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.97 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes | 38c | 130.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 250 | 23.2%58 W · 192 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 9c | 123.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 102 | 16.7%17 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 22c | 118.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -7.7wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 70c | 116.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes | 68c | 102.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 99 | 11.1%11 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a9…4bdfbacked No | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 66c | 98.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 56c | 95.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…bddcbacked Yes | 38c | 93.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 73c | 90$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed Yes | 24c | 83.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 56c | 80.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 130 | 31.5%41 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…4828backed Yes | 54c | 79.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 72c | 60.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…3159backed Yes | 62c | 55.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…0d4abacked Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e43…b356backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 178 | 18.5%33 W · 145 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…e8c6backed Yes | 47c | 47.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked Yes | 31c | 45.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 61c | 42.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb626…2138backed Yes | 61c | 37.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…2488backed Yes | 78c | 33.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 55c | 31.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 235 | 41.3%97 W · 138 L | -29.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xded6…81ebbacked Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…cf59backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…cb7abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?this page
- Will CZ post 160-179 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 40-59 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.