Tweets · resolved market
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c72b08640909bc0ef3c8ab35d7f0fc942439c814d53a38f2bee1d33ad5093df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 46,730$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 3c | 594.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 8.8%6 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a9…4bdfbacked Yes | 13c | 386.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…90e7backed Yes | 60c | 349.29$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.7 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 9c | 236.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d7…b428backed Yes | 72c | 231.5$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 8c | 224.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…d94abacked No | 29c | 171.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 22c | 164.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…bf28backed Yes | 45c | 156.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e43…b356backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 178 | 18.5%33 W · 145 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 75c | 106.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes | 59c | 100.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 99 | 11.1%11 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 13c | 93.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 79.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed No | 29c | 68.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 21c | 67.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e5…2231backed Yes | 78c | 51.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 235 | 41.3%97 W · 138 L | -29.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…0d4abacked Yes | 28c | 44.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…510dbacked No | 72c | 41.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 32c | 41.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 48c | 39.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 49c | 35.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb626…2138backed Yes | 39c | 30.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…4828backed Yes | 48c | 25.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e12…948bbacked Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Yes | 49c | 22.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -7.7wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…5d2cbacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?this page
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Yes won
- Will CZ post 160-179 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 40-59 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.