South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d4fedc0715557aa3d604e5175f75b906befc43abcaf4a3516e6805c383dc22e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 71c | 3,081$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.44 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 23c | 2,992$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.85 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba1…6aefbacked Yes | 63c | 1,495$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 54c | 1,258$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.03 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 31c | 1,059$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.82 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 77c | 987.36$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.99 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 8c | 825$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 56c | 810.67$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.25 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed No | 62c | 699.99$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 630.75$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.08 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 30c | 589.11$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.01 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 74c | 540.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.66 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +10.8wins | +0.35per pick | 46cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 518.49$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.61 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 38c | 471$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.27 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 66c | 467.86$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.79 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 14c | 424.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…260fbacked Yes | 39c | 376.49$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.66 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 70c | 340$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.88 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 328.53$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.63 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Yes | 34c | 294.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.11 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…497dbacked Yes | 40c | 282.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 39c | 270$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…f046backed No | 30c | 252$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 250$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 17c | 243.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 13c | 240$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 32c | 216.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.41 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…5d16backed No | 23c | 179.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…9dabbacked Yes | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 11c | 125.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 19c | 114.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 62c | 110$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 34c | 105.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 38c | 102$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 14c | 100.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 74c | 63.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5783…429dbacked Yes | 38c | 59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 34c | 57.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 39c | 51.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 63c | 51.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…0d4abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 46c | 48.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 33c | 41.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6c…be8cbacked Yes | 39c | 38.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 40c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 43c | 35.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 40c | 34.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 64c | 32.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 67c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e3…6100backed Yes | 67c | 29.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Yes | 52c | 25.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 72c | 22.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-18?this page
- Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-08-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.