South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcde2979f44798f526139de51fdcbc56fa6ce1ecf1269d6e76f25a3cc2c655458
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 45c | 1,884$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.14 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 18c | 1,218$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.27 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 32c | 792$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.44 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 68c | 745.96$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.71 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 630.38$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 65c | 616$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +14.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 64c | 616$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.57 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 27c | 559.22$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.99 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 434.47$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.74 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 389.08$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 15c | 340$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 58c | 334.88$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.35 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 60c | 293$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.05 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 32c | 208.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 56c | 148$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 38c | 143.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 16c | 136.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 32c | 118.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 32c | 101.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 69c | 99.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 41c | 79.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x544f…3ca1backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 70c | 70.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 64.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 33c | 59.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Yes | 26c | 59.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 42c | 50.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…bd81backed No | 67c | 50.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 32c | 46.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4199…b1c3backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 33c | 43.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…487abacked Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 29.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 57c | 28.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 57c | 25.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 69c | 24.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 68c | 21.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked No | 64c | 21.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…f046backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 76c | 15.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-08-18?No won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.