South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-08-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94b8d1404f91e69be49437d0600423736ce425298dde811132cefa2e1e17db12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 72c | 13,000$9,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.99 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 28c | 4,168$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 19c | 2,563$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.97 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 2,155$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.38 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Yes | 28c | 1,154$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.15 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 30c | 1,109$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,081$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.75 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Yes | 28c | 996.8$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.1 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 920.8$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.82 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 28c | 909.96$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.79 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Yes | 29c | 882$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.78 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 28c | 841.74$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.69 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 28c | 823.73$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.65 | 312 | 40.1%125 W · 187 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 11c | 739.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 29c | 637.93$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 28c | 557$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 28c | 557$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 555.52$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 508.93$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.46 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed No | 73c | 439.04$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Yes | 16c | 419.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 72c | 347.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 673 | 37.1%250 W · 423 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 12c | 340$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 28c | 285.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 72c | 281.6$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 72c | 272.51$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 241.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 219$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 28c | 214.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 71c | 192.9$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 158.37$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0430…b7bbbacked Yes | 34c | 149.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…31fbbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 76c | 131.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 36c | 130$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 120.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…dee9backed Yes | 37c | 114.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…8dc9backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 28c | 101.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 63c | 92.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 28c | 82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…5f0ebacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 73c | 61.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4199…b1c3backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 28c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…0d4abacked Yes | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 28c | 45.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked Yes | 29c | 40.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 29c | 40.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 74c | 35.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 74c | 35.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 416 | 62%258 W · 158 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…a070backed No | 71c | 28.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed No | 74c | 22.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 74c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 632 | 61.2%387 W · 245 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 72c | 14.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-08-18?this page
- Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.