South American Leagues · resolved market
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a7289dfad96d7360e82d9dc8ab90b71c7ba88b3321a0eef6fcc41c490d33d55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Over | 43c | 9,710$4,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,490.6 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 50c | 6,961$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.3 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 6,918$3,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,677.16 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 48c | 4,001$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.07 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 44c | 3,332$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.96 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 2,101$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.4 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 1,508$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.99 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 46c | 1,228$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.32 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Under | 17c | 1,050$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 50c | 1,005$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.25 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 50c | 1,005$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.26 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 820.57$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.78 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 771.07$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.54 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 49c | 604.88$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.51 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 50c | 508.96$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.48 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Over | 34c | 497.54$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.8 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 475.01$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.75 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 30c | 364.87$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 50c | 332.44$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.22 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over | 33c | 211.77$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.87 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 210.89$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Under | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Under | 71c | 197.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…1c1abacked Over | 46c | 181.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Over | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 14c | 161.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 33c | 145.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 50c | 145.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 145.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 50c | 138.44$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Under | 58c | 133.81$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 50c | 121.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85f4…ac20backed Under | 72c | 107.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 33c | 103.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 31c | 96.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 32c | 84.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 80c | 78.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Over | 46c | 64.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 75c | 63.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed Over | 33c | 63.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f1…53f1backed Under | 68c | 55.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 58c | 55.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 59c | 55.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 24c | 45.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 52c | 45.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 38c | 44.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e12bbacked Over | 31c | 44.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Over | 32c | 42.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked Over | 79c | 39.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 35c | 39.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 79c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Over | 33c | 37.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 69c | 35.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…0ad8backed Over | 44c | 34.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 50c | 34.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 69c | 32.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…0d4abacked Under | 71c | 32.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd76…3269backed Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…c7eebacked Under | 50c | 28.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 48c | 26.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…da1abacked Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 61c | 21.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 77c | 15.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…c86cbacked Under | 74c | 14.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5this page
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-2.5)CA Mineiro won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-2.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.