South American Leagues · resolved market
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddfc00aa76360fd68a8240577f358ccec2a8961038a863c2632d4783c31c4b92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 740.95$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.35 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 68c | 313.57$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 66c | 252.63$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75af…145fbacked Under | 32c | 223.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 204.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 170.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 70c | 168.34$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Over | 65c | 152.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 72c | 136.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 28c | 124.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 66c | 108.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 66c | 102.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Over | 68c | 100.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 99.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 95.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 68c | 72.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 68c | 66.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 64c | 58.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 30c | 51.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 68c | 49.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Under | 40c | 48.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 33c | 42.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 33c | 38.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 33c | 38.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 33c | 38.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e12bbacked Under | 33c | 34.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 37c | 34.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 32c | 33.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 34c | 31.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 34c | 31.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 34c | 31.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 67c | 30.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 67c | 29.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 60c | 27.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 70c | 25.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Over | 62c | 22.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Over | 61c | 21.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 68c | 18.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…eb0abacked Over | 70c | 17.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed Over | 68c | 17.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 70c | 15.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5this page
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-2.5)CA Mineiro won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-2.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.