Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0d69c0a8aa8a038182ea20aef5ca0a4635bfed3bdb7e11dfcdd78d0f28499df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Yes | 29c | 19,596$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 7,513$5,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.54 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 5,096$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.81 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 70c | 3,243$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.65 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 3,225$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.97 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 72c | 2,613$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.51 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 2,323$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.07 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 2,196$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.35 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 69c | 1,426$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.72 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…b09bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -67%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.92 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 27c | 970$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 899.99$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.5 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 18c | 777.78$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Yes | 24c | 627.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 619.45$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 562.92$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.69 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…a33cbacked Yes | 28c | 502.02$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed No | 71c | 491.55$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.55 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 26c | 400$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 70c | 346.53$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 342$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 330.47$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.16 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 27c | 322.6$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 70c | 322$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 301.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…773bbacked Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 30c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -10.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 71c | 199.22$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 30c | 176$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 23c | 166.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 26c | 165.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 28c | 117.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 101.14$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 27c | 95.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…c292backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 25c | 80.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…fa8fbacked Yes | 25c | 79.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…75febacked Yes | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 23c | 74.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 26c | 69.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 29c | 66.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 77c | 66.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 77c | 66.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 77c | 66.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 77c | 66.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 72c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 77c | 52.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed No | 74c | 50.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d0…8db8backed No | 71c | 48.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6c…35bbbacked Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 71c | 34.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 71c | 34.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c1…028bbacked No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 30.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…4db7backed No | 71c | 30.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 72c | 24.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 73c | 24.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed No | 73c | 22.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…0d4abacked No | 78c | 16.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed No | 74c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…ff9ebacked No | 71c | 14.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.