TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,623 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf83…3385backed Yes36c5,556$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.9211338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes4c4,987$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.314852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes35c4,950$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.382,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes3c4,349$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.926412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes30c3,846$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.871,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c3,639$2,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.448,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c3,547$2,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.795,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes38c3,260$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.022,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22fe…92c1backed Yes3c3,230$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.321631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefd6…ca34backed Yes1c2,618$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.282661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No62c2,555$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.883073.3%22 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+55.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No63c2,543$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.831,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes41c2,159$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.328940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Yes11c2,113$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.052937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes37c2,053$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.0549136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No63c1,953$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.421,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Yes34c1,912$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.812416.7%4 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-77.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Yes5c1,763$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.473545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ef…e59abacked No59c1,647$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.25714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-76%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No62c1,568$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.8422457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes3c1,400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes5c1,391$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.554436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd876…4c8bbacked Yes4c1,292$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.13225%8 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-50.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No61c1,274$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.672759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ad…b017backed Yes38c1,258$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.11955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+63.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce0c…d839backed Yes35c1,153$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes5c1,005$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2331136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No63c999.98$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9910426.9%28 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No62c991.81$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.91,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No65c908.66$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.921,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes2c886.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.566526.2%17 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes6c869.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6911039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes29c814.74$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.291,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes17c801.76$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.991,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No61c749.99$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.519447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes39c738.27$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.6266837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Yes37c699.98$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.994443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes3c600$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.699259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22824053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No63c583$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.7119742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007332.9%24 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed No65c540.55$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.556561.5%40 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No61c533$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.878551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed No68c519.05$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.117440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4716051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa15e…b828backed Yes3c499.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.211650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed No72c458.67$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.434182.9%34 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No60c458.21$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3129037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes38c450.26$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.17748.1%37 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Yes38c442.29$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.266735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes31c403.23$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No62c399.99$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15219559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No68c396.67$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.498660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No68c363.33$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2713748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No68c352.55$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7145746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes38c347.09$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.917251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes17c344.52$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6249535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Yes31c327.58$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.554626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66e…47c5backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66a…b156backed Yes25c320.89$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.491540%6 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes31c319.59$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6419040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212933.3%43 W · 86 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes37c299.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9911155%61 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed No53c296.88$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.535147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes30c287.38$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.211,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes6c276.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5785220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes24c272.86$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2442946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3995…f71dbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ce…7d54backed Yes40c267.5$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+46.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed Yes30c266.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5057…d8a4backed Yes37c259.81$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No63c257.55$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.297856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes23c252.21$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.448743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e41…ca06backed Yes41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed No60c247.47$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.993441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cda…1397backed Yes41c245.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006642.4%28 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c4…c777backed Yes38c239.47$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No67c235.31$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8872058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Yes37c224.32$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7624956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7621358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7623056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7428851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No61c199.98$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9918358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed No71c183.8$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.38858%51 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c165.85$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No62c156$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2815359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.51833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-46.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked No68c149.55$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5519543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes40c147.01$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.518743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2f…9dabbacked Yes37c140$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.897170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab2d…9086backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.