TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,924
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,924 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No65c6,458$4,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,180.892,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked No8c5,450$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.053545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes77c4,260$3,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.1221938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes50c3,882$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.258,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed No8c2,339$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.495147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No6c1,963$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2520036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No56c1,647$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.821,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No66c1,627$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.721,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6006753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes44c1,207$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.212,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce0c…d839backed Yes38c1,073$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No66c949$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.3413053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes25c930.25$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.2428940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Yes35c890.97$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+188.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No9c842.48$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.243016.7%5 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c755.4$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.025,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes27c709.25$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.891,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Yes66c704.34$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2377843.6%34 W · 44 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Yes30c678.05$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.6411125.2%28 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Yes45c615.99$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.832937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes35c601.9$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.391,44237.6%542 W · 900 L+4.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33511155%61 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked No66c491.99$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.796038.3%23 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No41c484.63$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.937723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a1…fb15backed Yes23c483.92$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.171553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes38c466.38$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.773,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Yes72c405.95$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.345837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes35c400$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c309.66$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.863,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes34c305.88$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.881361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick36cpaid+74.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Yes32c303.03$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.032060%12 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No64c293.02$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5319340.4%78 W · 115 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No61c285.75$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.9516051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ce…7d54backed Yes34c273.2$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.21752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+46.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes33c267.59$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.1267337.1%250 W · 423 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes26c234.58$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5920934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No66c216.77$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.071,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…10fcbacked No70c216$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.21566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Yes69c211.59$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5910618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13028851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1d…f2dfbacked No61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc73b…f046backed No42c190$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes34c155$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.36440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7655…f0b2backed Yes65c153.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No66c152.45$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.641,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No68c135.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8529047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Yes61c135.23$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.216561.5%40 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes47c121.06$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.567048.6%34 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes34c120.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.811,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Yes63c111.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1110365%67 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes33c110$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5749535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes33c108.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7113451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No66c105.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.882,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes40c103.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.126526.2%17 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3724535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8373…f0bcbacked No67c99.5$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66a…b156backed Yes33c95.74$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.691540%6 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed No58c94.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.825646.4%26 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes57c94$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3272258.6%423 W · 299 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes51c92.85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2895155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes51c91.32$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.460156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9030…60e4backed Yes26c82.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.28850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes51c82$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2641662%258 W · 158 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No61c81.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.11,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No47c78.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.721,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Yes33c74.39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.656350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x544f…3ca1backed Yes34c73.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.533056.7%17 W · 13 L+6.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+67.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x72ea…487abacked Yes34c70$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-26.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa236…4cbbbacked Yes61c65.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.791258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a11…9becbacked Yes24c60.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.031241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No22c60.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.514755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.71,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e9…99e6backed Yes35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.142339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes20c54.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.812313%3 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes38c52.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5169453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c51.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.751,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No70c50.74$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.529149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Yes42c50.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.519053.2%101 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed No67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89a…efc3backed Yes22c46.36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2815…7f0cbacked No45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202860.7%17 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f2…2cb0backed Yes34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Yes33c40.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2414149.6%70 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5591…ebe0backed Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.86944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked No67c39.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.72975.9%22 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed No65c37.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.158347%39 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed9d…444abacked Yes34c35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.12025%5 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a98…dc9cbacked Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No80c32.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.831,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Yes46c31.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9316549.1%81 W · 84 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes44c30.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.274944.9%22 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc28b…3683backed Yes49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes54c27.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7963261.2%387 W · 245 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes53c27.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.829056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked No67c26.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189547.4%45 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9252…9a87backed No67c26.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f8b…b723backed Yes56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.792665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1040…ac10backed Yes54c26.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.245874.1%43 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.