South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66b9c87aa8d3b33a03439d9cc1c7e2cf7ccf8e66abb6e39cd0f0ca49a4d7670c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 1,625$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 43c | 1,320$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.46 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 62c | 966.6$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.94 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 58c | 765.58$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.04 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Under | 41c | 697.28$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.62 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 44c | 678.6$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.58 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 671.49$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.33 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 64c | 574.55$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.07 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Under | 36c | 538.05$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.44 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 48c | 484.2$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.56 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 64c | 472.23$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.11 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 65c | 462.28$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.44 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 52c | 432.86$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.25 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 55c | 396.28$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.32 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 58c | 393.21$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.06 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 56c | 389.48$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.68 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 383.22$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.36 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 36c | 349.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 33c | 316.2$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…7a37backed Over | 45c | 296.53$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…9c77backed Under | 77c | 256.47$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…a05cbacked Over | 23c | 253.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…b1b8backed Over | 61c | 231.84$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 7c | 226.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.53 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 45c | 218.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.31 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 195.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 47c | 188.62$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 56c | 160.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 54c | 160.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 159.25$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910b…6cfbbacked Under | 75c | 149.35$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…9118backed Over | 25c | 147.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 57c | 108.87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 57c | 108.87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 24c | 99.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 50c | 96.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 65c | 80.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 43c | 77.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…5847backed Over | 66c | 74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…c66abacked Over | 35c | 72.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 46c | 72.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 56c | 69.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 62c | 69.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Under | 54c | 68.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over | 36c | 66.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Over | 65c | 66.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 28c | 64.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 29c | 62.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 29c | 58.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad81…3ffebacked Over | 58c | 56.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7190…00e7backed Under | 35c | 54.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 65c | 53.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Under | 56c | 51.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…7a51backed Over | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 64c | 43.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Over | 70c | 42.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 47c | 39.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 37c | 33.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Under | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x67f1…53f1backed Under | 72c | 29.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed Over | 50c | 27.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -53%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Under | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 72c | 27.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Over | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…d13ebacked Over | 79c | 21.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 58c | 21.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…5bc2backed Under | 56c | 20.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 57c | 20.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…0d4abacked Under | 70c | 16.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 75c | 15.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.