South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48fed0fdf652d9e804d77b1828bb1b4e1518faf63b0da07307104032e6b995da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 1,081$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.93 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Yes | 64c | 1,051$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 63c | 789.97$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.98 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 55c | 539.45$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.63 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 296.89$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.04 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 51c | 287.82$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 51c | 257.83$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.16 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 52c | 210$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 69c | 200.39$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 63c | 190.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.29 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3b…b37fbacked Yes | 52c | 187.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 45c | 128.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Yes | 52c | 116.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 35c | 115.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed No | 40c | 93.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 86.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 80.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 50c | 74.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 41c | 68.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Yes | 64c | 61.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…bfe7backed Yes | 50c | 55.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 64c | 49.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 49c | 49.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed No | 40c | 43.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 50c | 42.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 48c | 38.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…7558backed Yes | 52c | 28.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…2f80backed Yes | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.