South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ae454c709fdff93e0c32de8ddc2c6d0372f8e96e3d8758e8de0883437a881c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 45c | 7,928$3,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,322.71 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 4,645$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.58 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 1,666$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.66 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 1,420$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.75 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 22c | 1,193$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.49 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 2c | 1,063$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 54c | 833.33$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Over | 61c | 800.54$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 57c | 744.66$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.83 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 712.65$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.97 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 42c | 699.95$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 639.39$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.77 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 45c | 558.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.21 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c7…de4bbacked Over | 46c | 504.37$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Under | 44c | 288.9$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.31 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 243$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.22 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 74c | 241.79$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…5349backed Under | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked Under | 55c | 210$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed Under | 55c | 210$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 194.77$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 57c | 190.08$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 55c | 189.73$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 55c | 185$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 54c | 180$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bda…28eabacked Over | 80c | 161.41$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 74c | 150.71$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…09aebacked Over | 80c | 147.32$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Over | 45c | 138.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 124.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Over | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 116.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.27 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 58c | 116.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Under | 22c | 108.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 18c | 106.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895c…d405backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 58c | 94.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 44c | 87.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 57c | 86.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 84.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 59c | 69.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 54c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 55c | 67.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 60.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 79c | 59.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 57c | 58.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 74c | 55.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 40c | 50.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 59c | 44.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Over | 57c | 42.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7190…00e7backed Over | 41c | 40.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…f5babacked Under | 42c | 39.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Over | 58c | 38.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 45c | 37.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Over | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 45c | 36.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…1a89backed Over | 46c | 33.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…8f4fbacked Over | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…3e64backed Over | 57c | 31.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Over | 80c | 31.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 79c | 30.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Over | 57c | 30.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 57c | 29.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Over | 58c | 29.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 46c | 24.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Over | 64c | 23.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e12bbacked Under | 57c | 21.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Over | 57c | 17.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 57c | 17.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.