Tweets · resolved market
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86f2d2f3f94091185a389d5979820fe761e1d2dda659e0d3f6be8fb7fca8a9d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 63c | 483.55$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.09 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 57c | 352.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 19c | 310.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 50c | 287.72$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.65 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7621…ef40backed Yes | 73c | 237.67$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa515…fd70backed Yes | 44c | 223.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 70c | 210.24$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 13c | 209.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 150 | 7.3%11 W · 139 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 60c | 208.75$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…071ebacked No | 36c | 173.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa105…8687backed No | 34c | 168.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 58c | 153.34$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acd…a3febacked Yes | 80c | 123.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 25c | 116.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…c260backed Yes | 42c | 113$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed No | 29c | 105.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…5d2cbacked Yes | 77c | 91.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…9f53backed Yes | 43c | 88.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d3…ff72backed No | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -14.0wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x17d8…8ba6backed Yes | 72c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 62c | 65.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…bf28backed Yes | 34c | 55.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…9413backed Yes | 72c | 53.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed No | 31c | 48.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 63c | 45.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 43c | 42.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…7328backed Yes | 72c | 33.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 75c | 30.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…bc60backed Yes | 64c | 30.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked No | 73c | 26.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 56c | 25.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…aff8backed Yes | 78c | 15.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?this page
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 80-99 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.