Tweets · resolved market
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8071d845526d52f0a597e356602ee11c2e67140a017777af711471039648823
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8168…90e7backed No | 73c | 2,142$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.66 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 28c | 991.92$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.19 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…36b4backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 29c | 241.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 334 | 27.5%92 W · 242 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 28c | 149.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 403 | 19.1%77 W · 326 L | -57.7wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…c6c3backed Yes | 11c | 107.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 11.1%11 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede3…e3f2backed Yes | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b6…302fbacked No | 73c | 92.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 26c | 88.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 150 | 7.3%11 W · 139 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed Yes | 29c | 64.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 335 | 41.8%140 W · 195 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 24c | 59.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…e6c7backed Yes | 24c | 55.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 24c | 47.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…e8c6backed Yes | 36c | 38.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…045dbacked No | 79c | 24.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?this page
- Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will CZ post 80-99 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.