TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e26…fdef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT4548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$101.4
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+300%+$85.95
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.18
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$56.2
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wizards vs. Magicbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$67.15
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$28.29
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.8
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$25.25
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$23.33
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+104.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-64.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick16cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+124.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.4
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.94
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.