MLB · resolved market
Will Dominican Republic win Pool D at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21bb7e4e198fe950997f994019a3bc0e542cc465fb527059cf7c07ef126b7319
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,051 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Yes | 77c | 998.14$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4342…5797backed Yes | 74c | 838.86$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.66 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 23c | 746.56$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.76 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 25c | 669$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.84 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 32c | 586.48$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.71 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…4537backed No | 29c | 539.93$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 23c | 362.94$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked Yes | 66c | 342.96$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c24…4186backed Yes | 70c | 286.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…357ebacked No | 38c | 264$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…24e6backed No | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1100…8f30backed No | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd1…1f10backed No | 38c | 262$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…b958backed No | 38c | 260.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…b00ebacked Yes | 79c | 252.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 24c | 194.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 24c | 188.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…9238backed No | 41c | 169$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2d…e4ecbacked No | 42c | 168$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4475…d5c0backed Yes | 73c | 162.68$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…c63bbacked Yes | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…b652backed Yes | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f8…cbd4backed Yes | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…fb5cbacked No | 41c | 161$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…1962backed Yes | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…912bbacked Yes | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3152…cbcabacked Yes | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…5179backed Yes | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3994…35f6backed Yes | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Yes | 77c | 154.81$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 154.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x39a3…61a2backed No | 41c | 153$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…049abacked No | 41c | 151$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…8e56backed Yes | 66c | 149$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…a9d0backed No | 11c | 149$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930f…b8ddbacked Yes | 66c | 148$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…bcc0backed Yes | 66c | 148$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…886cbacked Yes | 66c | 148$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…8b11backed Yes | 66c | 148$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 24c | 146$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 78c | 128.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Yes | 78c | 127.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 31c | 118.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf59…42d9backed Yes | 74c | 116.83$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987c…0b2cbacked Yes | 75c | 112.09$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…6e84backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 63c | 91.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4d…3e2cbacked No | 24c | 83.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +153.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…cefabacked Yes | 71c | 77.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 33c | 75.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…83a7backed Yes | 67c | 74.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked Yes | 63c | 72.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…dbdebacked Yes | 77c | 71.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed No | 34c | 61.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4c93backed Yes | 65c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…9f1cbacked Yes | 68c | 59.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…5456backed Yes | 72c | 55.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed No | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed No | 28c | 54.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 69c | 51.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 35c | 41.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…f05cbacked Yes | 71c | 35.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 68c | 33.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…df94backed No | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…491fbacked Yes | 71c | 26.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de7…f798backed Yes | 76c | 25.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…6c0bbacked Yes | 62c | 16.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dominican Republic win Pool D at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?this page
- Will Venezuela win Pool D at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.