Middle East · resolved market
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d15df8a612ac9548e0e2fdf5a420d65fa8c267f3dd250a34a15c416c306b18a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $711,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $706,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $711,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x799d…cbffbacked No | 0c | 66,695$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 44,608$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.53 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce0b…2174backed No | 4c | 25,906$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…c3a4backed No | 1c | 13,684$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.46 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6017…b75ebacked No | 1c | 13,612$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef7…01f5backed No | 2c | 12,655$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 12,198$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.39 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…5592backed No | 1c | 11,698$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…a676backed No | 2c | 11,205$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6cbcbacked No | 3c | 10,773$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ab44backed No | 2c | 10,355$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb341…fd07backed No | 2c | 10,283$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.25 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…ecf8backed No | 3c | 10,108$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…bcc2backed No | 1c | 8,807$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…9d0abacked No | 4c | 8,698$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.02 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…fc0abacked No | 1c | 7,833$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…b679backed No | 2c | 7,276$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b3…6285backed No | 2c | 6,518$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +330.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 1c | 5,995$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaff…c699backed No | 1c | 5,800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…5516backed No | 0c | 5,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -70%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…3d76backed No | 1c | 4,769$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb921…f947backed No | 1c | 4,464$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…4dc6backed No | 1c | 4,420$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…63cabacked No | 2c | 4,288$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8f…b9b0backed No | 1c | 4,252$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb9…f594backed No | 4c | 4,014$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26da…5110backed No | 1c | 4,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b1…d3c9backed Yes | 44c | 3,889$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.53 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce2…2d0ebacked No | 1c | 3,874$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d73…f7b8backed No | 0c | 3,732$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +250.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…fb34backed No | 1c | 3,700$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0849…bb6dbacked No | 9c | 3,684$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed No | 1c | 3,567$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…6600backed No | 2c | 3,323$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…8be7backed No | 2c | 3,288$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 2c | 3,232$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 1c | 3,110$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…5333backed No | 2c | 3,023$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed No | 1c | 3,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 146 | 9.6%14 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…e1ebbacked No | 1c | 3,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 1c | 2,948$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c40…3d64backed No | 1c | 2,900$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 1c | 2,836$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe03…dd35backed No | 2c | 2,492$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4d69backed No | 1c | 2,475$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…506ebacked No | 4c | 2,349$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ae…890cbacked No | 2c | 2,220$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8651…22cabacked No | 5c | 2,159$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x121a…db9ebacked No | 1c | 2,149$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 2,100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…a680backed No | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ed6bbacked No | 1c | 1,916$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…5086backed No | 1c | 1,915$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6917…fde0backed No | 1c | 1,883$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…b12dbacked No | 2c | 1,794$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4282…ea9dbacked No | 1c | 1,690$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf92…839dbacked No | 1c | 1,672$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 1c | 1,600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…7976backed No | 1c | 1,587$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed No | 1c | 1,551$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 1c | 1,542$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…dc5cbacked No | 2c | 1,527$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 2c | 1,389$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 119 | 9.2%11 W · 108 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…0bbabacked No | 10c | 1,379$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474d…be7bbacked No | 1c | 1,324$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed No | 1c | 1,304$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +79%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 6c | 1,290$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x543e…300bbacked No | 2c | 1,272$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 33c | 1,237$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.62 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…5d26backed No | 1c | 1,233$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 1c | 1,206$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 170 | 3.5%6 W · 164 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…214cbacked No | 1c | 1,199$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…d83fbacked No | 2c | 1,184$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…2d59backed No | 1c | 1,180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…e0ddbacked No | 2c | 1,176$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…b320backed No | 3c | 1,166$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…c003backed No | 3c | 1,115$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a69…fc08backed No | 1c | 1,114$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…6b3dbacked No | 2c | 1,082$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +325.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed No | 56c | 1,069$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…d89ebacked No | 1c | 1,013$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b2…10cebacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…d084backed No | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…45dcbacked No | 3c | 988.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…10b8backed No | 2c | 967.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…0866backed No | 1c | 894.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835f…d27dbacked No | 2c | 875.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…914ebacked No | 10c | 842.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfa…3c08backed Yes | 64c | 841$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b4…bbfabacked No | 1c | 834.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 35c | 824.02$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.08 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…d8efbacked No | 63c | 801.61$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.5 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 32c | 781.26$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.13 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b04…a7eabacked No | 1c | 770.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked No | 2c | 749.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…a963backed No | 1c | 734.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2867…9815backed No | 2c | 709.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf577…160ebacked No | 2c | 708.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…cb60backed No | 2c | 608.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?this page
- Military action against Iran ends by April 1, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 10, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 11, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 12, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 13, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 14, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 16, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 18, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 19, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 2, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 20, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 21, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 22, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 23, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 24, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 25, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 26, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 27, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 28, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 3, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 6, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 7, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 8, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.