Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34ae6edef62d01800a54869009ccd6b9a1e08260a276e2e2348b630eaec7079e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,900,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,953,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,900,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 668 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf796…3ac5backed No | 5c | 18,279$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa838…15cbbacked No | 5c | 13,685$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.52 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6def…7096backed No | 1c | 12,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | +889.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 10,750$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…e196backed No | 10c | 8,468$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…561dbacked No | 24c | 8,168$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.59 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 8,126$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.4 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf733…981dbacked No | 3c | 6,556$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0e…c0bfbacked No | 4c | 6,423$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf798…c718backed No | 3c | 5,646$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8301…2c0bbacked No | 3c | 4,604$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0e…269ebacked No | 5c | 4,421$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b95…0f86backed No | 3c | 4,002$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…53dabacked Yes | 70c | 3,908$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.58 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +216.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…2ebfbacked No | 3c | 3,889$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x525d…4cadbacked No | 3c | 3,879$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 8c | 3,842$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.18 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 66c | 3,820$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.86 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +159%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…3606backed No | 4c | 3,744$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…62b8backed No | 4c | 3,733$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054e…1482backed No | 3c | 3,703$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a6…3675backed No | 3c | 3,690$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…8df9backed No | 3c | 3,506$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 60 | 5%3 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…c4bcbacked No | 3c | 3,126$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…d7b7backed No | 4c | 3,019$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…309cbacked No | 3c | 2,962$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…b9cabacked No | 3c | 2,845$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2b…86ecbacked No | 3c | 2,840$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec4…e5a3backed No | 3c | 2,822$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…fef0backed No | 6c | 2,804$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…04a9backed No | 3c | 2,731$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…7244backed No | 3c | 2,711$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa7…0ee2backed No | 4c | 2,697$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…00afbacked No | 3c | 2,658$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…2f42backed No | 4c | 2,643$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…f407backed No | 4c | 2,608$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8f…a578backed No | 3c | 2,594$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…8648backed No | 3c | 2,587$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7a…b4ccbacked No | 3c | 2,575$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…1924backed No | 3c | 2,561$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7647…a2cdbacked No | 3c | 2,554$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5e…f489backed No | 3c | 2,541$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc012…12c7backed No | 4c | 2,487$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d1…1f06backed No | 3c | 2,478$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…eac6backed No | 4c | 2,477$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…5d13backed No | 4c | 2,467$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf169…272cbacked No | 4c | 2,462$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd9…3933backed No | 3c | 2,454$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c66…27ffbacked No | 3c | 2,443$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e70…d7eebacked No | 3c | 2,425$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8e…8ed6backed No | 3c | 2,396$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e22…0dfabacked No | 3c | 2,369$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea4…035ebacked No | 4c | 2,366$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4e…a79abacked No | 3c | 2,338$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93a…11c2backed No | 3c | 2,266$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…814dbacked No | 4c | 2,205$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46a…5e00backed No | 4c | 2,190$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa2…8fafbacked No | 3c | 2,163$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5496…bb8ebacked No | 3c | 2,144$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec4a…74cabacked No | 3c | 2,140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c5…ae6cbacked No | 4c | 2,139$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…5c34backed No | 4c | 2,139$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…acabbacked No | 3c | 2,116$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfc…37a7backed No | 3c | 2,101$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2e…7cc4backed No | 4c | 2,075$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x674a…7e28backed No | 3c | 2,072$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e81…5cf6backed No | 3c | 2,067$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c7…51f4backed No | 3c | 2,052$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b87…c5abbacked No | 4c | 2,044$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…ec80backed No | 3c | 2,030$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5f…7ea5backed No | 3c | 2,016$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b2…3152backed No | 3c | 2,016$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5346…9c11backed No | 3c | 2,011$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 50c | 2,004$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.05 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…1199backed No | 5c | 1,993$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc3…48fcbacked No | 4c | 1,977$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb67b…8cc3backed No | 4c | 1,960$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcb…8428backed No | 4c | 1,955$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…717ebacked No | 46c | 1,951$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d1…d42abacked No | 4c | 1,931$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,924$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427e…7482backed No | 3c | 1,921$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…94a1backed No | 4c | 1,908$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc19…ae24backed No | 3c | 1,907$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…bd13backed No | 5c | 1,900$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b7…b97ebacked No | 3c | 1,892$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…d7adbacked No | 4c | 1,885$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 4c | 1,875$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebc…a8d4backed No | 4c | 1,869$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…2014backed No | 5c | 1,840$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3943…f3c1backed No | 4c | 1,832$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed No | 28c | 1,816$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.92 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d96…5f05backed No | 4c | 1,811$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…b4f5backed No | 3c | 1,802$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…1a22backed No | 4c | 1,792$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe978…a454backed No | 5c | 1,791$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…de4dbacked No | 4c | 1,785$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e61backed No | 4c | 1,761$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fa…2c8fbacked No | 7c | 1,760$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…c92fbacked No | 5c | 1,707$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.