Lol · resolved market
Will Maryville University win NACL 2026 Spring?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75820cce3caba64648c9dfd69bd8efe314ef6363169a7783a622b3b14ac331ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 67c | 540.71$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.04 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed Yes | 33c | 285.7$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed Yes | 23c | 225.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 20c | 182.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 23c | 172.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes | 22c | 125.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 28c | 101.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…fb78backed Yes | 49c | 53.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…41b3backed Yes | 34c | 30.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…94ddbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…4304backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Maryville University win NACL 2026 Spring?this page
- Will Apex Mission Impossible win NACL 2026 Spring?No won
- Will CCG Esports win NACL 2026 Spring?No won
- Will Citadel Gaming win NACL 2026 Spring?No won
- Will Conviction win NACL 2026 Spring?Yes won
- Will Dorado Gaming win NACL 2026 Spring?No won
- Will NRG win NACL 2026 Spring?No won
- Will Winthrop University win NACL 2026 Spring?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.