TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-03-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,873 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes31c11,739$3,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,622.81,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c3,725$2,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.898,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No44c3,524$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.6128651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.022657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c2,432$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.045,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes54c2,419$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.454669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes36c2,048$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.0411230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Yes56c1,959$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0976058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No47c1,876$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.2749449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No61c1,498$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.542,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes56c1,173$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.641,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No64c1,136$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.351,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No43c1,052$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.8721345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes50c1,008$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes46c792$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.1227133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed Yes57c666$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.621553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No43c557.35$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.6947756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes56c508$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.483167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002850%14 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed No43c471.95$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.012157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25019963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes43c459.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005125.5%13 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Yes37c385$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8921752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Yes31c316.86$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0913548.9%66 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes38c309.94$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1227442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No56c295.36$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.61,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x974e…8703backed No47c264.3$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.952740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes48c262.36$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.821,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No43c241.78$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.421,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes24c225.1$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.323,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes42c194.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.431346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes51c194.18$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0723254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes51c192.71$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.282931%9 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes57c180.91$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.121,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No43c176$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.322560%15 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes12c172.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0884943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Yes56c165.67$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.785660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes50c153$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.617542.3%74 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes51c152.09$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2345946.8%215 W · 244 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes59c148.39$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5545253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Yes52c137.68$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes52c131.32$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.673565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No41c130.05$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7355155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…0c64backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107061.4%43 W · 27 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+56.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x144c…217ebacked No43c124$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+208.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.651654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf57a…bd53backed Yes44c111.36$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes13c111.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.072334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557128.2%20 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No41c108.39$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.958056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7349535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No59c98.97$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.121,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes50c96.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.151060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No42c95.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.559340.9%38 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No43c93.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7110846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee47…1c4cbacked Yes53c93.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.37825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed No43c90.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.862755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6040…33a9backed Yes58c82.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.131338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes18c82.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Yes59c76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes49c74.59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5577151.4%396 W · 375 L-3.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa9…5da8backed Yes59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ec…1363backed Yes45c65.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.362548%12 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No43c62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.344139%16 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes43c61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1617436.2%63 W · 111 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.619050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Yes61c58.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.448248.8%40 W · 42 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked No43c55.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.816855.9%38 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3262…3e5fbacked No54c48.15$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Yes52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6229053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9187…4309backed Yes50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-69.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No62c43.64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5199259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Yes46c42.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.666141%25 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed No47c42.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b6…d33ebacked Yes49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Yes62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Yes61c38.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.42951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes33c37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3532936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes50c36.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3211262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No41c36.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5510157.4%58 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01d2…77d9backed Yes49c36.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71a3…22c9backed Yes53c35.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.03837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed No42c35.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.696857.4%39 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8393…4f91backed No59c34.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.392236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b64…72eabacked Yes57c33.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No54c33.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.196357.1%36 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes56c30.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.911,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x784b…aa7bbacked No44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes55c27.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.111664.7%75 W · 41 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed No51c25.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3711461.4%70 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked No50c25.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.56432.8%21 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No79c24.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1835758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x206a…94ddbacked No55c21.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3316…bcd8backed Yes59c20.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.429245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked No54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.22774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x287d…4867backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.