South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcdc1c88931cbe2717caba8ecaa6879f4f8dfef274a775ec8c66585f9a9e3d8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,287 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 5,490$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.89 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 41c | 3,877$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.63 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 2,024$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.3 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 18c | 1,233$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.98 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 28c | 1,132$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.03 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 659.97$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 655.34$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 15c | 470$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes | 15c | 349.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 21c | 337.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 26c | 297$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked No | 71c | 280$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 21c | 279.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 241.8$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 235.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 75c | 211$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3218…a011backed No | 75c | 207$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 187.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…7044backed Yes | 28c | 179.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 161.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 72c | 161.6$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed No | 75c | 155$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 25c | 128.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed No | 75c | 105$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 18c | 103.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 16c | 95.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 93.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 92.39$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 21c | 88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 87.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 26c | 82.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 75c | 79.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 60c | 78.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 67.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 32c | 63.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 68c | 62.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 59.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 29c | 57.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 22c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 56.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 56.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…7a56backed No | 68c | 47.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked No | 75c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Yes | 35c | 33.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 72c | 31.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…4867backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 69c | 23.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 74c | 22.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 75c | 22.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 68c | 19.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?this page
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-03-18?Yes won
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-03-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.