Us Politics · resolved market
Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcecf5bd4aebcda50818f73a755cd5d35080658e20bae41cb8339761963109e5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $441,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $413,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $441,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Yes | 9c | 34,084$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 10c | 17,465$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +204.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c1…9b20backed Yes | 7c | 11,031$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.3 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 14c | 10,922$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.35 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 21c | 10,908$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.53 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 0c | 9,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 12c | 8,561$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.89 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +9.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +346.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Yes | 24c | 6,608$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1327…9237backed Yes | 10c | 6,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 13c | 6,185$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.42 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 11c | 6,070$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.71 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 1c | 5,799$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…aba7backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 10c | 4,190$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.09 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 11c | 4,029$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.19 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 20c | 3,600$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Yes | 3c | 3,315$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…85b8backed Yes | 10c | 3,265$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 9c | 2,936$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.46 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39f2…146ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,501$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.42 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 5c | 2,414$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3d9abacked Yes | 13c | 2,298$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.72 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 16c | 2,166$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.76 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…7807backed Yes | 6c | 2,151$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…c1c2backed Yes | 9c | 2,021$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.31 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -82%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd749…bf72backed Yes | 1c | 2,004$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…af5abacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,999$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,998$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…eb47backed Yes | 1c | 1,974$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…7483backed Yes | 15c | 1,814$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 14c | 1,770$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.31 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…777bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,710$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 14c | 1,438$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.23 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,231$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…be6bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…6b3abacked Yes | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…3781backed Yes | 15c | 1,156$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.01 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…fc5cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,046$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…2759backed Yes | 12c | 1,018$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…ded5backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa733…0e46backed Yes | 11c | 999.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 8cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe3…a828backed Yes | 16c | 987.5$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 8c | 954.02$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 2c | 900$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 11c | 831$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 14c | 816.22$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.27 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 12c | 772.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…f7d3backed Yes | 16c | 743.86$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…2422backed Yes | 10c | 680.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 20c | 665.12$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked Yes | 11c | 634.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 11c | 620.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…72b0backed Yes | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 14c | 599.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…5c7bbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 9c | 561.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cf…61d2backed Yes | 22c | 557.22$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…b79bbacked Yes | 10c | 536.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…f184backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 17c | 500$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…e330backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…1482backed Yes | 11c | 492.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…5945backed Yes | 12c | 425$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 17c | 404.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…e480backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…58e0backed Yes | 17c | 394.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…77b1backed Yes | 7c | 367.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1232…629ebacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…7540backed Yes | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…7465backed Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…101fbacked Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…edfabacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…d48fbacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…0c67backed Yes | 11c | 298.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +540.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 9c | 292.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Yes | 10c | 284.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked Yes | 12c | 249.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8478…d150backed Yes | 10c | 244.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…f47dbacked Yes | 30c | 240$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…9eb9backed Yes | 23c | 232.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4755…6d6cbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…e319backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bb…5b64backed Yes | 12c | 212.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…d4ffbacked Yes | 19c | 211.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dda…2839backed Yes | 10c | 203.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad6…cc62backed Yes | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x556f…9263backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…324dbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…bef7backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Yes | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…1af7backed Yes | 10c | 170$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33f9…a3ccbacked Yes | 17c | 168.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?this page
- Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?Yes won
- Will Terrie Christie win TN-7 Special Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.