Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on March 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85a805c65fb261926271ef3426e17a2a6839bebc287e081780c8d1c6f68cddef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,012 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e7…9641backed Yes | 29c | 64,600$18,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,866 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x261f…2fa4backed No | 71c | 64,600$45,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,866 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…a061backed No | 0c | 15,986$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 27c | 810.03$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.37 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 40c | 758.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.37 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 28c | 427.13$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.08 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…8ee7backed No | 72c | 424.41$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.62 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 12c | 406.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Yes | 55c | 365.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed No | 74c | 347.85$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…bfd3backed Yes | 32c | 338.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.07 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5474…a452backed No | 64c | 332.2$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 26c | 299.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.98 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 73c | 277.28$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.11 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 61c | 256$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd26…5b5cbacked Yes | 51c | 250.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.22 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 30c | 217.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 17c | 212.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.52 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 24c | 203.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 30c | 199.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 13c | 167.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…6b95backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 46c | 133.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 59c | 132.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720a…0a49backed No | 78c | 129.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 118 | 78.8%93 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 75c | 125.55$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 34c | 123$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 34c | 120.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…cc93backed Yes | 70c | 119$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 62c | 108.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7082backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e8b7backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 99.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f0…dcb8backed Yes | 43c | 99.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 27c | 91.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 43c | 89.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 88.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 28c | 81.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…eb47backed No | 71c | 77.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 71c | 72.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8a…edf9backed No | 66c | 71.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 26c | 71.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 63c | 71.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64bd…82cfbacked No | 43c | 70.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 187 | 61%114 W · 73 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…f497backed No | 73c | 69.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 47c | 68.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 48c | 61.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Yes | 27c | 61.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b9…3377backed No | 65c | 61.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 67c | 57.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 23c | 56.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed No | 25c | 52.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…d3debacked Yes | 28c | 52.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 244 | 14.3%35 W · 209 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 33c | 51.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41a…0fd7backed Yes | 29c | 50.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d3…3db7backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe423…2492backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…0e6ebacked No | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed No | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 71c | 47.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked No | 75c | 46.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 45c | 45.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…769bbacked No | 72c | 44.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b9…b47fbacked No | 62c | 43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked No | 71c | 42.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 71c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…c5c7backed Yes | 31c | 39.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +219.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 63c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 50c | 38.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0686…9020backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…616cbacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…5318backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 52c | 34.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…e902backed Yes | 37c | 33.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 66c | 32.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 77c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…260cbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…507abacked Yes | 80c | 31.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7c…9e02backed Yes | 42c | 31.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d6…9523backed Yes | 49c | 30.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2125…87f9backed Yes | 79c | 30.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…7f5abacked No | 68c | 29.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 35c | 29.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…ee14backed No | 62c | 28.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedb…5e54backed No | 71c | 28.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…3bf4backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…b73fbacked Yes | 51c | 28.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +29.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 59c | 27.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd9…5b04backed No | 72c | 27.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 70cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on March 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 37°F or below on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 56°F or higher on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 38-39°F on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 40-41°F on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 44-45°F on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 46-47°F on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on March 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.