Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x058d0192eb6e07afa0e2534b79b525ca7316f48ef24f19e838d3d8bc56a47d5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,433 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 77c | 3,779$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.3 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 69c | 2,904$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 36c | 1,740$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.03 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 4c | 1,691$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 57c | 1,026$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.08 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 20c | 1,022$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 1,012$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 42c | 988.51$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.16 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…3af0backed Yes | 10c | 924.85$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 23c | 801.47$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 9c | 743.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 21c | 743$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.11 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 14c | 719.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes | 12c | 661.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 149 | 28.2%42 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 69c | 603.5$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.98 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…d4febacked Yes | 43c | 579.25$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.06 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 30c | 522.87$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.23 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked Yes | 29c | 503.73$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.84 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…c167backed Yes | 12c | 491.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 177 | 23.2%41 W · 136 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 65c | 488.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.07 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 28c | 485.42$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.14 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a97…0cc8backed Yes | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f6…db6fbacked Yes | 19c | 428.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked No | 70c | 427.19$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 79c | 400.62$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked No | 55c | 400.55$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…85ecbacked No | 73c | 400$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 12c | 385.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 22c | 378.72$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 30c | 371.92$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…7f72backed Yes | 27c | 368.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae04…2110backed Yes | 31c | 351.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 74c | 320.97$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 18c | 318.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e5…2231backed Yes | 36c | 311.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.38 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 15c | 300.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a79…b31ebacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e9…cfb0backed No | 73c | 299.99$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Yes | 30c | 296.77$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 108 | 24.1%26 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked No | 68c | 290.96$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 45c | 276$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.92 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…229ebacked Yes | 12c | 273.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 103 | 22.3%23 W · 80 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 66c | 258.56$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.63 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…8da1backed Yes | 12c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cd…17acbacked Yes | 41c | 244.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 78c | 237.04$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 217.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…a567backed Yes | 23c | 215.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked No | 55c | 200.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af8…b069backed Yes | 29c | 186.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…d6edbacked Yes | 35c | 183.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Yes | 27c | 183.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 77c | 180$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes | 39c | 165.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 41c | 159.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…cf3ebacked No | 64c | 158.61$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 156$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked Yes | 33c | 151.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…6883backed Yes | 41c | 147.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…7217backed Yes | 26c | 146$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 31c | 145.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked No | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 20c | 133.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 40c | 122.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 33c | 120.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 21c | 114.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 360 | 18.6%67 W · 293 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 66c | 108.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Yes | 30c | 100.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 296 | 10.5%31 W · 265 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b4…4d69backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +108%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 75c | 85.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 39c | 82.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e1…3fc9backed Yes | 31c | 81.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 44c | 80.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed No | 59c | 77.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed Yes | 45c | 73.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…eb47backed Yes | 30c | 73.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf66b…114dbacked Yes | 30c | 67.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed No | 67c | 64.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed Yes | 30c | 63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 139 | 26.6%37 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…ecddbacked Yes | 35c | 61.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a72…1c25backed Yes | 31c | 56.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 52c | 52.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…a2c2backed Yes | 35c | 51.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e43…b356backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 178 | 18.5%33 W · 145 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes | 43c | 49.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.