Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2cddff9ec8bb53dbc5afb8b4a14933a5f66f4b7507f4ef532f0ff03544dbb90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,571 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed No | 2c | 2,742$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 59c | 1,910$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.59 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 63c | 743$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.25 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 30c | 580.48$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.59 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…d4febacked Yes | 75c | 570$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 22c | 564.73$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked Yes | 54c | 466.69$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.58 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2d…e075backed Yes | 74c | 404.58$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 53c | 365.83$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.72 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 53c | 357.96$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.11 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed No | 48c | 348.52$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.95 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebe…287cbacked No | 14c | 301.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 35c | 292.73$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 283.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 19c | 280.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 63c | 258.78$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.99 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 35c | 249.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 71c | 245.02$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Yes | 45c | 236$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes | 59c | 205.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 71c | 205.11$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…1b43backed Yes | 49c | 202.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…9e26backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 26c | 199.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 30c | 199.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 49c | 198.66$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.27 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf212…a810backed No | 23c | 178.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5597…174bbacked Yes | 60c | 168.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes | 50c | 159.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 77c | 156.71$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961c…a310backed No | 15c | 156.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…de4dbacked No | 17c | 150.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 53c | 146.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736a…26f0backed No | 14c | 146.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…7217backed Yes | 63c | 146$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 58c | 143.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e9…cfb0backed Yes | 68c | 142.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4088…0da3backed Yes | 42c | 137.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255c…16dfbacked No | 14c | 136.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…febbbacked No | 14c | 135.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb41…0a5cbacked Yes | 58c | 129.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…d6edbacked Yes | 70c | 122.84$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 55c | 122.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 40c | 119$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 57c | 115.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 360 | 18.6%67 W · 293 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…4d48backed No | 14c | 115$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a3…d7bebacked No | 25c | 114$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e4…8171backed Yes | 28c | 109.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6511…1611backed No | 27c | 104$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 35c | 101$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…2826backed No | 17c | 101$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb60…1938backed Yes | 30c | 100.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +264.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…006abacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af3…c472backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 52c | 95.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2074…8caabacked No | 18c | 92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…6883backed Yes | 51c | 90.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes | 80c | 90.32$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…f0e6backed Yes | 28c | 89.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Yes | 44c | 89.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 44c | 89.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked No | 55c | 88.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66b…114dbacked Yes | 30c | 86.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 33c | 84.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3a…08d7backed Yes | 62c | 83.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd17…272fbacked No | 17c | 83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5efe…600fbacked No | 15c | 83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x280b…d619backed Yes | 61c | 78.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed Yes | 63c | 78.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 139 | 26.6%37 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 26c | 59.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b6…cc7bbacked Yes | 62c | 58.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b60…49bfbacked Yes | 45c | 55.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ab…e99cbacked No | 54c | 51.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 59c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…21b9backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…19ddbacked No | 41c | 49.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…1361backed Yes | 62c | 47.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…6d4bbacked Yes | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a97…0cc8backed Yes | 70c | 42.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1e…ffe5backed Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 50c | 39.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86cc…f46ebacked Yes | 57c | 39.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked Yes | 73c | 39.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c21…5cc1backed Yes | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7e…f846backed Yes | 57c | 38.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 69c | 36.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 53c | 34.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…be73backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed Yes | 73c | 33.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…cc94backed Yes | 56c | 32.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b2…15fbbacked Yes | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.