AI · resolved market
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4ec18b9e58f0715bdf00ebdb0076742679fd7315f38eebc7c658f2311d0d2a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,819 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53bf…bc10backed Yes | 68c | 9,213$6,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80dd…69a8backed No | 32c | 5,107$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4604…444abacked No | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.61per pick | 25cpaid | +261.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 79c | 4,005$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -4.4wins | -0.62per pick | 77cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 51c | 3,432$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.65 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +12.9wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 63c | 1,206$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.4 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fe…b5d1backed Yes | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.5wins | -0.59per pick | 76cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3de3…765fbacked No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaf…58e8backed No | 36c | 921$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 37c | 778.66$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.95 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eef…d34ebacked No | 6c | 584.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed Yes | 74c | 530$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 68c | 499.99$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…54bbbacked No | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 35c | 400$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x061c…8b9abacked Yes | 62c | 350$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…ca5ebacked No | 34c | 300$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…c37cbacked No | 25c | 290$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 27c | 285.25$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 77c | 258.2$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 18c | 237.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Yes | 64c | 235.94$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 62c | 229.08$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0f…8033backed No | 44c | 228.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…4048backed No | 30c | 220.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…ec41backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11a…e32bbacked No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a5…2165backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 66c | 191.98$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 36c | 190$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…d896backed No | 36c | 170.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…4a67backed Yes | 75c | 165.25$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…b448backed Yes | 65c | 154.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…6865backed Yes | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6513…8c10backed No | 25c | 154$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d6…13bcbacked No | 38c | 154$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…0d54backed Yes | 65c | 153.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…7b7cbacked No | 48c | 152.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…3c0abacked Yes | 63c | 150$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…0dfabacked Yes | 64c | 140.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 41c | 138.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…6f28backed No | 34c | 124$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 44c | 123.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…a1a0backed No | 33c | 122$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a3…444bbacked Yes | 72c | 111.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 22c | 111.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -20.8wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 36c | 100.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…e991backed Yes | 68c | 100.84$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b83…0a52backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yes | 56c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…b101backed Yes | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4833…1b65backed Yes | 70c | 99.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…cef0backed No | 33c | 99.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked No | 34c | 92.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…923abacked No | 27c | 92.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…7c1abacked Yes | 65c | 84.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…3752backed No | 38c | 76.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 38c | 74.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a19…c9d9backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 26c | 66.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…369abacked Yes | 76c | 65.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…571abacked Yes | 65c | 64.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 28c | 62.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x52ce…1da9backed No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…0a46backed Yes | 69c | 62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5e…7972backed Yes | 51c | 58.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…3518backed Yes | 66c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 35c | 57.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…eb47backed No | 34c | 55.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…2d43backed No | 43c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked No | 40c | 52.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…f16cbacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608d…3933backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6118…d31dbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…9061backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 59c | 47.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 41c | 47.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…5b93backed Yes | 62c | 47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d4…e4b1backed Yes | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…b2cfbacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…fdecbacked Yes | 57c | 41.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 43c | 41.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 34c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfec…015abacked Yes | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…ce15backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…07fdbacked Yes | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…5abcbacked Yes | 79c | 34.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ab…f8efbacked Yes | 72c | 32.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…5effbacked Yes | 63c | 31.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae2…49b6backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9f…45e0backed No | 63c | 31.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 66c | 30.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Yes | 53c | 29.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 69c | 28.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…5d69backed Yes | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?this page
- Will CBS Sports App: Scores & News be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?No won
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?No won
- Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?No won
- Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?No won
- Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.