TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
3DMAXof 3DMAX, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$751,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$847,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $751,375 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed MOUZ41c100,000$40,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,997.996160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed 3DMAX59c63,456$37,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,017.1525355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b1d…76a0backed 3DMAX71c57,741$40,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,887.53966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed MOUZ68c38,705$26,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,239.3233343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked 3DMAX33c21,066$7,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,024.6941040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 3DMAX54c20,068$10,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,231.1281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked 3DMAX51c19,125$9,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,296.421655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf423…2cf8backed 3DMAX41c18,996$7,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,207.63650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ38c17,457$6,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,648.691,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ33c13,125$4,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,269.692,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked MOUZ68c12,520$8,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,513.578556.5%48 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked 3DMAX40c11,123$4,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,712.4216946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed 3DMAX32c10,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,799.9917737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed MOUZ68c8,000$5,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,44037157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…08d2backed 3DMAX51c7,830$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,830.166450%32 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x969a…59ddbacked 3DMAX32c7,696$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,233.281764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed 3DMAX34c7,353$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,852.963745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 3DMAX55c7,096$3,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,218.391,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked MOUZ45c6,842$3,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,071.7422129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed 3DMAX32c6,579$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,473.719451.5%100 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed 3DMAX32c6,000$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,089.9775450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked MOUZ34c5,786$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.7922241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed 3DMAX57c5,077$2,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,196.5687047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked 3DMAX53c4,940$2,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.0238358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ57c4,558$2,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,576.922,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed MOUZ61c4,319$2,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,627.028045%36 W · 44 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ59c3,693$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,178.617,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ68c3,658$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.595,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ67c3,579$2,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,395.022,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed MOUZ26c3,468$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.44845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed 3DMAX53c3,460$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.633949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed 3DMAX32c3,419$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.7518837.2%70 W · 118 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3503…06d6backed 3DMAX32c3,404$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,314.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed MOUZ48c3,338$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed MOUZ62c3,250$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.9819949.7%99 W · 100 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x461d…db9ebacked 3DMAX32c3,098$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.645052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed MOUZ69c2,945$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.791,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed 3DMAX32c2,859$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.387943%34 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 3DMAX57c2,782$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.621,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed MOUZ68c2,723$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.410749.5%53 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed MOUZ43c2,620$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.411149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…cba2backed MOUZ49c2,236$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.542532%8 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ30c2,213$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.415,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 3DMAX45c2,099$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.262,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked MOUZ48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018444%81 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67a4…32a8backed 3DMAX32c2,054$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3971136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked 3DMAX72c2,023$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.8944957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked MOUZ66c1,976$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.5546165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e6…23c2backed 3DMAX50c1,920$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.035563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed 3DMAX60c1,872$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.7812055%66 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb283…4501backed MOUZ33c1,856$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.522642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked MOUZ55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked 3DMAX58c1,797$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.468741.4%36 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed 3DMAX60c1,750$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.8622750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8a…9dfcbacked MOUZ48c1,750$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.483839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked MOUZ38c1,745$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.973,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked 3DMAX33c1,736$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.3119457.2%111 W · 83 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed 3DMAX32c1,658$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.4214546.9%68 W · 77 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked MOUZ59c1,653$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.4132548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked 3DMAX60c1,600$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6481,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6be…a0f3backed MOUZ58c1,542$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.2610449%51 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5d8…a00bbacked 3DMAX62c1,488$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.134647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed MOUZ40c1,450$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58512941.1%53 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed MOUZ29c1,405$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.0421143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa45f…4e8dbacked MOUZ63c1,400$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8821118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick51cpaid-73.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked MOUZ55c1,400$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77025655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed MOUZ28c1,349$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.121,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 3DMAX62c1,343$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.951,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed 3DMAX58c1,320$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.0822358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7e3…22cbbacked 3DMAX55c1,315$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.733438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked 3DMAX60c1,281$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.5443152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc76…8578backed MOUZ49c1,276$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed 3DMAX59c1,253$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.578670.9%61 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed MOUZ49c1,244$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.727961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked 3DMAX39c1,202$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.9636440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed MOUZ45c1,119$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.740264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed MOUZ68c1,119$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.1959755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked MOUZ67c1,080$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.9169624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6319…d371backed 3DMAX61c1,050$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed 3DMAX51c1,050$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.536446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ca…8487backed MOUZ68c1,006$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed 3DMAX32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68037145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed 3DMAX32c1,000$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6856756.7%38 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed 3DMAX41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.881241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed 3DMAX35c999.98$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.9950846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed MOUZ57c971.23$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.291,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ba7…dd5abacked MOUZ62c970.01$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed MOUZ40c968.15$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.2626624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked 3DMAX51c954.26$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.1931647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked 3DMAX51c949.98$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.4919741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked 3DMAX69c927.34$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.3435745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed 3DMAX56c894.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.6415150.3%76 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed 3DMAX56c874.6$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.5712433.9%42 W · 82 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked MOUZ46c863.21$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ44c857.93$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.096,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed MOUZ68c827$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.3621351.2%109 W · 104 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ59c799.99$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4711,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked MOUZ68c799.97$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.981,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4031…c848backed 3DMAX32c780$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.411135.1%39 W · 72 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed 3DMAX38c765.67$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.7216633.7%56 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.